COLLABORATIVE DISASTER RISK REDUCTION IN CPEC

The China Pak Economic Corridor, CPEC, is one of the six planned corridors that form part of Xi Jinping’s signature Belt and Road Initiative (BRI). Launched in 2013, the other five corridors include Bangladesh-China-India-Myanmar Economic Corridor (BCIMEC), China-Indochina Peninsula Economic Corridor (CICPEC) China-Central Asia-West Asia Economic Corridor (CCWAEC), China Mongolia Russia Economic Corridor, (CMREC) and New Eurasian Land Bridge (NELB).

The BRI vision is a paradigm shift in commerce. The pivot of high finance is shifting from the west to the east and the BRI is an embodiment of this revolution in the making. CPEC, BRI’s pilot project, has a comparative advantage over the other five corridors, which pass through more than two countries involving longer terrains and complex negotiations. CPEC is mere 3000 kilometer long (making it the shortest of the six corridors) that begins at China’s Kashgar in Xinjian and ends at Pakistan’s Gwadar at the Arabian Sea.

CPEC is the pivot of the new course Pakistan is taking to become a regional commercial hub. The collaborative priorities, as described in the November 2017 agreement between Pakistan’s minister for Planning, Development and Reform and his Chinese counterpart, earmark energy, transportation, IT networks, medical services, poverty alleviation, tourism, and rural development sectors.

A serious omission in CPEC priorities is China-Pak collaboration in disaster risk reduction. In an agreement titled “Long Term Plan for China Pak Economic Corridor, 2017-2030,” consisting of thirty eight pages and approximately seven and a half thousand words, disaster risk reduction is not mentioned even once. Despite the neglect, joint disaster risk reduction inevitably became a preoccupation of CPEC planners as the Pakistani and Chinese scientists from the National Institute of Oceanography and the South China Sea Institute of Oceanology, respectively, teamed up in early 2018 to study Gwadar’s seismic risk. Funded by the Chinese Academy of Sciences, the expedition was necessitated by heightened seismic activity in the region, instead of being the outcome of a well thought out joint plan of disaster risk reduction R&D.

The regions of Pakistan and China constituting CPEC are known as disaster prone areas. Most of the higher than six MMI scale earthquakes in China since 1980 happened in Western China. According to the data from China Earthquake Network Center (CENC), since 1980, there have been 130 earthquakes between MMI 6 and 7, sixteen earthquakes between MMI 7 and 8, and two earthquakes higher than MMI 8 in China. Most of the earthquakes higher than MMI 6 took place in western China, consisting of Yunnan, Qinghai, Sichuan, Gansu, Xizang (Tibet) and Xinjiang. Western China is, therefore, an earthquake prone area.

Gwadar’s topography makes it vulnerable to the hazards of flooding, cyclones, tsunamis, and earthquakes. Gwadar lies on the head of a peninsula surrounded by ocean on three sides, which makes it vulnerable to tsunamis. When and if a tsunami happens, it would hit Gwadar straight on, which is the worst kind of tsunami impact for urban infrastructure.

Gwadar is located right next to the epicenter of the 1945 earthquake that devastated the region at MMI 8.1. The Makran Trench is where the Arabian plate (which contains the Arabian Peninsula) is sub-ducting under the Eurasian Plate at 4 centimeters per year. By not quaking for several decades, the Makran Trench is building up elastic energy. Sub-duction zones produce up thrust earthquakes, which are the most intense type of earthquakes, causing large tsunamis. It should be borne in mind that in the earthquake of 1945, only part of the Makran Trench ruptured, comprising eastern half under Pakistan, not the part under Iran. If the entire Makran Trench was to quake, the earthquake could be a magnitude 9.2, same size as the 2011 earthquake that devastated Japan, the most disaster resilient country in the world.

The Long Term Plan for China Pak Economic Corridor states that “The CPEC will greatly speed up the industrialization and urbanization process in Pakistan and help it grow into a highly inclusive, globally competitive and prosperous country capable of providing high-quality life to its citizen.” (from website.) Despite overwhelming need for disaster risk reduction in CPEC, in this vision of prosperity of Ahsan Iqbal, regional collaboration in disaster risk reduction does not once appear as a priority. In “Restraint of Natural and Geographical Factors,” Xinjiang’s “weak industrial base” is listed, “cost of construction and management of operations in difficult terrain” is listed, “energy, infrastructure and governance deficiency” is mentioned. DRR appears nowhere on the document as one of CPEC’s challenges.

The risk of extreme weather phenomena, including strong cyclones, is higher. As a consequence of earth’s crustal movement, earthquakes is a clear and present danger. The terrain CPEC is built on is disaster prone. Alongside these hazards, CPEC gives Pakistan an unprecedented opportunity of availing Chinese expertise in collaborative disaster risk reduction. Pakistan’s deficiencies in financial and technological resources can be compensated if China partners actively in managing potential and real disasters in CPEC. It is better for Pakistan to seek foreign collaboration in a well-planned manner than to leave it to developments that be.

Pakistan’s legislature needs to make relevant laws and government needs to sign treaties on controlling water pollution, solid waste pollution, noise pollution, livestock epidemic emergencies and transportation and food scarcity hazards. Disaster risk reduction along CPEC needs to be made a priority area of tripartite collaboration between China, Pakistan and Saudi Arabia, the third major investor in CPEC. Collaboration in DRR technology, including early warning systems and remote sensing, is a dire need of CPEC – a project mainly consisting of infrastructure development for uninterrupted commerce. Not just the infrastructure, but the communities along the CPEC also need to be safeguarded against natural and man-made disasters through collaborative action on awareness, mitigation and management of disasters.

The vision of a University at Gwadar, laid out in the CPEC agreement, must be revisited to create an international center of excellence in disaster risk reduction and disaster management studies, harboring a climate change and earth sciences resource center, equipped with state of the art technology and online connectivity to other Universities in Pakistan with similar programs. Scientists from China, Eurasia, and the larger international community of disaster and climate scholars should be visiting faculty, conducting joint research and imparting knowledge to Pakistan.

CPEC needs to be built as a “model” of disaster risk reduction and the sooner Pakistan and China paid attention to the importance of this joint venture, the better CPEC will serve its purpose.

Zeenia Satti is CEO of Pakistan’s People Led Disaster Management. She blogs at https://zeeniasatti.wordpress.com/.

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Mitigating Gun Violence In America

It is horrible to say this, but the synagogue shooting in Poway, California which killed one worshiper and injured three others on 27 April is just another routine tragedy in America. In recent years, mass shootings have become very common in America. One would expect USA, the world’s most powerful country, to take swift action to curb the dangers its people live under, but all efforts towards this end are marred by a sharp political divide that has led to fierce debate between proponents and opponents of gun control.

There are two main solutions being proposed for America, restrict ownership of weapons among people or have people carry weapons with them to defend against potential shooters. Proponents of the two cannot find common ground. Most mass shootings are carried out with high-powered weapons. Gun rights activists tend to advocate for their legality while gun control activists don’t like the idea of people carrying weapons, even smaller handguns.

In the realm of disaster risk reduction (DRR), the two solutions, banning guns and carrying guns, fall on both sides of a spectrum. The former is an example of hazard mitigation, in which the focus is on getting rid of the danger at its source, and the latter is an example of vulnerability mitigation, with the focus on how potential victims can be enabled to deal with the danger.

Not only do we witness America suffering from a major hazard in the form of mass shootings, but every feasible solution it seeks sparks angry debates and stern opposition. It is very common for people dealing with serious social problems to be unable to find a solution that satisfies everyone – more so if heavy sentiment and serious conflicts of interest are involved. In America’s gun debate, those on the right say gun control is an infringement on rights and carrying guns makes people safer, while those on the left say legal gun ownership is the cause of the problem and curbing it will curb violence.

Hard to decide who is right. We cannot even turn to practical experience for guidance. Chicago, for instance, has stricter gun laws than the rest of the United States, yet more gun violence than anywhere else in the US, while the UK has gun control and low levels of gun violence. Meanwhile, gun violence is rampant in some countries with widespread gun ownership, like America in general, and minimal in other countries with similar patterns of gun ownership, like Switzerland. The same policy has different outcomes in different places. The issue is more complex than the political divide is telling us.

One thing that is clear is that gun violence is a phenomenon wherein the technological and the societal intersect. At the heart of the matter lies something that is not so complex, the tools, i.e., guns, but surrounding this is the attitudes of people, which are varied and can be overwhelming. This intersection can explain the evolution of the crisis. For much of America’s past, guns were not as deadly as they are now. Nobody could use a musket or a Kentucky Rifle to mow down crowds. Therefore the Second Amendment allowed Americans to freely own guns without much problem. But gun technology has advanced so much since then and certain social developments are making people more vulnerable to and/or more likely to perpetrate mass violence. In continuing with the Second Amendment in such circumstances, America carries on a tradition dear to its heart at great cost to its people.

The discourse on solving America’s gun violence problem is so far entirely focused on social policy. But the problem springs from presence of technology. We should therefore consider turning to technology itself for solutions. Modern technological ingenuity may be behind many of the problems the world suffers from, but it can also be deployed for solving such problems. Gun sellers sell high-powered weapons to ordinary Americans with the intention that these only be fired under certain, highly-restricted circumstances. This intention can be transformed into technology designed to ensure safety. Weapons can be designed so that they are only capable of being fired in safe situations. This can be done by integrating digital technology and artificial intelligence with firearms.

When Americans own weapons like the AR-15s, the main purpose is recreational. Such guns can be fired at designated firing ranges or in wilderness, but are not supposed to be discharged in populated areas upon hapless humans. Weapons manufacturers can, therefore, be mandated by law to design smart weapons that, when sold to ordinary consumers, are only able to fire based upon exposure to certain electronic signals. Each gun should come equipped with artificial intelligence that makes the decision of when not to fire. Guns could be designed to only be operable when exposed to signals emitted by certain transmitters set up at firing ranges or guns could be designed to be inoperable when exposed to signals emitted by transmitters set up all around populated areas like schools, market places, subways, places of worship and any place where large numbers of people collect. Even though the synagogue shooter carried a huge amount of ammunition, his rampage was cut short by his gun jamming, as a result of which, thankfully, the toll is so low. We can find a way to make that happen to every gun used for such a purpose.

I am calling for the gun manufacturers to start making smart guns that lunatics and terrorists can not use for their purposes. The US should enforce safety from gun violence through technological innovation instead of seeking it through transformation of values and attitudes of people. Serious investment in R&D for smart guns is need of the hour. If we can make smart cars equipped with artificial intelligence to avoid accidents, why cant we make smart guns? Every gun meant for sale to ordinary people should be equipped with artificial intelligence capable of deciding on the basis of signals/visuals when not to shoot, when to jam itself.

Human society is regulated more by the imperatives of technology it uses than by the imperatives of laws meant to manage people’s behavior. And necessity, indeed, is the mother of invention.

Fostering Environmental Knowledge in Pakistan

As we have learned in Waking Pakistan Up to the World’s Need to Safeguard the Natural Environment, there is a need for people to be aware of environmental issues, a need which goes chronically unfulfilled.

Before action, there comes the cognition part. All hope of stopping the harm resulting from humanity’s impact on the natural world rests on knowing the situation and being creative enough to think of possible solutions. Trouble is, Environmental issues are themselves a new and developing field in the realm of human study and there is still so much that we have yet to know.

The information we need, extensive as it is, can be summed up as follows. We need to know what is going on and what has been going on with the environment and what human activity will cause what sort of harm and how much harm. The crux of the matter is establishing what it is we do not want to happen. We need to know what are the different future possibilities and chances assuming we do not take action. We need to know what action can be taken and how we may change the future through these actions. Finding solutions to environmental problems involves preventing environmental changes, or reversing environmental changes.

Environmental issues can be summed up as follows. Human civilization is growing rapidly and tremendously, giving it the ability to transform the planet it inhabits. This is largely a new situation, because for most of history until recently, mankind’s presence on Earth was small and grew very slowly. The issues people mostly had to contend with throughout humanity’s existence were relations and conflicts with each other and their endeavors to develop, including overcoming the challenges put in their way by a pristine and untamed nature. But now, in the modern age, the entire globe is in a new situation, in which the natural world is being altered by human beings on a grand scale. By and large, these changes are resulting in negative consequences, compromising the well-being of the planet. Because civilization continues to grow with no end in sight, it is a problem that will define our entire foreseeable future.

That is what modernity is bringing us. Fortunately, modernity also brings us a practically limitless potential for knowledge, for investigating the universe, and for innovation and creativity. We just need to develop capabilities to solve the problems we are creating.

The developed countries, who are the most responsible for large-scale environmental degradation, also lead the way in the field of environmental studies and innovation, like they do with most things, but environmental protection is of critical importance for the entire world. The benefits of modernity are not enjoyed by all. Poor countries both have a low capacity for solving environmental problems and are the most vulnerable to environmental degradation, meaning their people are most vulnerable to suffering caused by environmental degradation.

Pakistan is one of the most vulnerable countries to environmental changes, and itself contributes a great deal to regional environmental degradation. As such, our stakes in this planet-wide crisis are high. It is essential for the well-being of our people and for our nation’s future that we involve ourselves in the global fight to protect the environment. For that, we need expertise first and foremost, which in itself will be a great challenge. So, in this article, we will be exploring what we will need to engage ourselves in if we are to become an environmentally aware nation.

We start with a critical look at Pakistan’s learning environment.

When it comes to Pakistan’s intellectual capacity, our nation has been struggling in many ways. The literacy rate itself is low by world standards, with only 58 percent of the population ten years old and above knowing how to read and write, as far as the latest statistics tell us. Literacy is largely absent in many rural areas. Many Pakistanis are also deprived of formal education in both quantity and quality. Seven million primary-aged children are out of school. Millions experience low standards of schooling, such as teachers often slacking off or being absent altogether. The government has devoted little resources to education for the last several decades. In 2017 and 2018, the education sector was allocated only nine hundred billion rupees out of the government budget, which is unfortunately low for a country with a population that big and that young.

Being as socially stratified a country as it is, a segment of Pakistan’s population is very well-educated, mostly in the cities. Islamabad, the capital, has a literacy rate of 98 percent. Lahore is considered Pakistan’s educational capital though it has 74 percent literacy rate. But just what is Pakistan’s academic performance? It is actually quite modest. Things were really bad in the 90s, when Pakistan lagged behind much of the developing world in terms of spending on research and development. But after the turn of the millennium, the nation embarked on a major program of reform in higher education. Spending on Pakistan’s universities increased tenfold after 2002 and many new universities were created, so Pakistan’s academic output grew. Research publications increased seven fold. According to statistics compiled in 2008, Pakistan produced about 445,000 university graduates per year and in 2009, Pakistan had 162 researchers per million people (the USA had 4651 by comparison). But in the ten years since, Pakistan’s higher education has been steadily deteriorating.

Pakistan’s total academic performance throughout its seven decades of existence can be gauged by the fact that the country has produced only two Nobel laureates, Abdus Salam some decades back for work in theoretical physics that he did in London and Malala Yousafzai for taking a bullet for speaking out against Pakistan’s lack of education. All this for a country classified as a middle power and an emerging economy.

Of course, Knowledge from all around the world freely flows into Pakistan, especially through the Internet. Pakistan also engages in intellectual exchange with the rest of the world through foreigners coming here or Pakistanis going abroad. The country has been involved in programs to make its graduate students and aspiring researchers interact with top international scholars, such as the Landau Meetings in Germany, where some of our students meet with Nobel laureates. Pakistan has been regularly sending university students abroad to study and there are seven million Pakistani expatriates, many of them studying in prosperous countries, but it is causing a brain drain issue for Pakistan. The security situation since 2001 has dissuaded foreign visits to our country a lot.

It so happens that environmental matters, which are a field new to the world, are often neglected in the curricula and R&D of many countries across the world, including Pakistan, where schools don’t give the subject a comprehensive treatment.

In the past, Pakistan paid little attention to environmental issues and public awareness was almost non-existent. The nation first started to really do something in this area in 1983 when the Environmental Protection Ordinance was promulgated, decreeing that governmental bodies should be set up to protect the environment, but little happened in the decade afterwards. It took a long time to formulate policies and environmental institutions were not strong enough to enforce them. Public ignorance of the environment prevalent and while the authorities tried to change that, their efforts made little headway because of the low literacy rate.

The environmental movement in Pakistan grew stronger in the 90s. At the 1992 Earth Summit in Rio de Janeiro, Pakistan formulated its comprehensive action plan for the environment, the National Conservation Strategy (NCS). After that, government agencies, civil society, NGOs, the media, and academia became active. Policymakers became more aware of environmental issues and Environmental Impact Assessments (EIA) began to be made for development schemes. There was a big push to raise public awareness among all sectors of society, with much success. So Pakistan’s development into a nation involved in environmental protection consisted initially of the institutionalization of knowledge, awareness raising, and planning. Once that stage was completed, Pakistan took on the challenge of putting environmental ideas into action, exemplified by the passing of the Environmental Protection Act on December 6, 1997, to replace the totally ineffective Environmental Protection Ordinance. Pakistan’s efforts so far have shown varying degrees of success.

We need to build up on what we have already achieved. Environmental problems are getting worse rapidly over time, and there is a whole lot people still need to learn. So, environmental knowledge must be promoted more among the personnel who run the country. It must be spread more among the masses.

It is only through environmental education that Pakistanis will gain the capability and motivation to be involved in safeguarding the Earth. There are two ways this can happen. Firstly, we need to develop expertise in personnel who dedicate themselves to the field of environmental protection. They can lead the way in action that advances the cause of environmental protection. Secondly, we need everybody, the masses in general, to become involved, because environmental matters are relevant to everybody and especially because all play a part in affecting the environment. The term for that is called Earth citizenship.

For public environmental knowledge, the entire primary and secondary levels of education can be used. At this stage, education is generalized. Students don’t choose what they study but study the same things as everyone else, because they have to learn about life in general. It is in these classrooms that we must incorporate a comprehensive environmental curriculum in order to inculcate Earth citizenship. For professional environmental expertise, we have higher education. This form of education is optional and specified. Students pick what subjects they will study that will be relevant to the kind of careers they are planning to have. In institutions of higher education, we must have well-developed environmental courses so that we can inculcate Earth leaders.

We need to teach general environmental knowledge to all Pakistanis. That includes remote tribal villagers, urban slum dwellers and street children. The destitute must be provided with means of awareness. We should try to include environmental knowledge in what little they can learn, given how important it is in their lives. Besides the basics, Pakistanis must learn about the environmental issues specifically relevant to them, with people of each area being taught what environmental damage is affecting them and what environmental impacts they are responsible for. All must also be made aware of the environmental situation of their entire nation. The global outlook must not be neglected either. Citizens of Pakistan are also citizens of Earth.

People have to be environmentally aware when it comes to their role in life. Many people have occupations that play a big role in environmental degradation or which can be useful for environmental protection, or which will be affected by environmental issues. Whether you are a humble potter or a businessman in a suit and tie in the ISE tower, you must be provided the relevant knowledge as part of your job education. Plus, all those running the country must be well-versed in environmental matters.

Then there are the jobs specifically devoted to environmental protection. You can be an environmental activist, environmental policymaker, environmental inspector, environmental researcher or scientist. For that, we need to institute the proper methods to turn Pakistanis into environmental experts at the top of the hierarchy.

Before we can start thinking about how to deal with environmental issues, we have to think about how we are going to make such thinking happen. What we need first and foremost is education. By that, we mean that knowledge has to be spread, i.e., what people know must be passed on to others. A big problem with environmental protection is that existing knowledge is meager. There are many frontiers of environmental knowledge humanity has yet to enter. But in addition to that, knowledge that already exists often has trouble being obtained by everybody who needs it. So we need to engage in pedagogy, i.e., the methodology of education.

There are two needs of ours, one that knowledge be spread among the masses of Pakistan as widely as possible and the other that existing knowledge be introduced in Pakistan. Socioeconomic factors do not have to restrict the gaining of knowledge because knowledge is not a tangible resource. There is little to expend physically in providing it to people. We just have to find out the right ways to do it (requiring knowledge itself, of course!).

Maybe we need to change our methods. knowledge is not a physical resource but a cerebral one. Why do education activists focus so much on constructing brick-and-mortar school buildings? We must find the most cost-effective ways to spread knowledge.

In the entire global battle to provide universal education, there is one factor that we have not been discussing very much; that is, just what are we supposed to be teaching the world’s underprivileged children once we get them into school? We are trying to give them access to education, but what is that education supposed to consist of?

When, say, a school is finally built in some rural village in Gilgit-Baltistan or FATA, if we teach the children inside the same generic subjects better-off children are taught, which are far off for them, it might be a waste of precious resources. Instead, it is best they be taught information that relates to their immediate concerns. It has to be tailor-made for the situation of the people being taught. Therefore, when providing education to students who were otherwise out of school because of the circumstances they and their families live in, the content of that education should primarily focus on those circumstances.

That includes teaching them why their quality of life is the way it is, teaching them how they can make their lives better. We teach them what is important for them to know like their disaster risks and how the diseases they are vulnerable to can be preempted and treated. In this way, the education can engage the people in helping themselves, i.e., empowering them to fight their circumstances. This way, mass education can also help overcome its central obstacle; motivating the people to avail access to education.

How does the environment figure into this? When poor people cut down forests to get timber and firewood, it brings them immediate benefits. When they are struck by floods and landslides, it brings them immediate problems. When you tell them that their harvesting wood is causing those natural disasters, it is hard to impress upon their minds the connection and you are telling them they should give up some benefits to solve some problems. Getting those people to even listen will be challenging.

The primary goal of providing education to those in difficult circumstances should be making them fully aware of their difficult circumstances and teach them how best to reduce them. As part of that, you teach them how man made impact on the environment contributes to their problems, what problems to expect, and how to take care of the Earth.

One policy we could implement is anonymous and incognito school inspections to make sure the teachers are doing their job properly. Also, we could incorporate technology into schools more, as machines neither slack off nor misbehave.

There is room for improvement in Pakistan’s entire formal education system. Mostly, in addition to what students are being taught, there is the question of how to teach them. A big issue is that rote learning is widespread. It is very much a dictated form of learning, consisting of students memorizing lessons and repeating them in tests. Albert Einstein said that “Any fool can know. The point is to understand.” It seems that our traditional methods of education are all about knowing and not enough about understanding.

Education for understanding tends to be more engaging. It gives students more freedom and more motivation to pursue knowledge on their own. It is also the right form of education when it comes to environmental awareness. Repeatable facts don’t help us to uncover how humanity impacts nature. The processes behind environmental degradation are not out there in full view of us. We have to analyze the signs to know they are happening.

Education needs sources of knowledge. There seems to be lack of intellectual resources within Pakistan. Students mostly read Pakistan-made textbooks. To use telecommunication to get to students, Pakistan created its Virtual University. There is a tendency for all such materials to be of poor quality. If lectures (and textbooks) are in English, the language tends to be poor.

We should understand that content made in Pakistan is the best content about Pakistan. The education systems of each country tend to be focused on that country (I might say especially so for developing countries, because only highly developed nations tend to have a cosmopolitan outlook). Same should be the case for environment. Pakistanis need to know more than anyone else all about environmental issues within Pakistan and Pakistanis are also the best people for researching and writing about it. But of course, environmental scholars in the world usually think global and research the environment of the whole world. We cannot count on them to do a thorough job for Pakistan. Therefore, we need to improve Pakistan’s academic capacity so Pakistanis can be adequately taught about Pakistan by Pakistanis. In addition to this, Pakistanis do need to immerse themselves in the global picture, for which all they need is access to global knowledge pool. Generally, becoming experts on the environment entails, in very large part, knowing what the rest of the world knows.

Ours is a world where knowledge and ideas are supposed to flow freely across borders. Pakistan has made English an important language for learning. This enables Pakistan to turn to the rest of the world for educating its citizens.

But the world practices the concept of intellectual property, forbidding many works of knowledge from being copied freely and thus leaving a price tag on knowledge. People in Pakistan therefore may not find it easy to pay for access to the world’s intellectual productions and that which is produced inside Pakistan is often the cheapest, but as we have seen, intellectual publications are not a strong product of our nation.

Whatever economic, social, legal, political, and cultural factors are in the way of intellectual engagement, there are certainly no barriers in the technological sphere. The modern world is optimally designed for limitless dissemination of knowledge in terms of its tools of communication. The most important such tool is the Internet, a global connection of computer networks. Besides allowing people to connect, it has surpassed books as the repository of knowledge. Also, much of its content is free to view. Through the Internet, people in Pakistan are freely able to engage with and learn from the rest of the world, provided they have the appropriate gadget and an Internet connection.

All around the world, people are turning to the Internet for education and educators are turning to the Internet for carrying out their work. Formal educational sources, such as websites with .edu at the end of their URL, are very useful. But nowadays, informal sources are widely available for people, including social media. A lot of education is conducted through casual channels, with two very important kinds being blogs and the YouTube. The big difference between them and .edu URLS, however, is that the latter are a more reliable resource. It is not just how much you learn but also if what you are learning is right, so just remember to check the WordPress or YouTube accounts you are logging onto and find out about the people behind them to see if they are reliable.

One of web’s most renowned resources is the TED series, devoted to lectures on various subjects and on “ideas worth spreading”. TED started its talks in 1990, inviting the world’s experts to speak in front of a large audience of people. Then it went online in 2006 and the impact it made on the public from then on was huge. Anybody who has something important to say can reach out to the world on TED and through countless other outlets as well. Today’s instruments of mass communication serve the purpose of mass education very well. They are a source of education that people can find for themselves and that are possible for people of limited means to access. It is here that environmental education can most thrive. Through the Internet, you can engage in discourse with the whole world about the environment. It is the ideal way to spread environmental literacy throughout the whole world.

The options are limitless. There are so many ways that knowledge can be spread, so many ways that it can be provided to people and so many ways that people can find it themselves. We need to explore them all and find out what are the best ways for each and every person to learn. There is really a vast amount of untapped potential when it comes to how we can learn.

Now, there is one more important matter that we need to deal with. That is, just what is it that we need to learn? As a single field of knowledge, environmental study crosses a variety of other disciplines.

Much of this is because the study of environmental issues involves both the natural world and the human world, which we normally consider to be vastly separate spheres of knowledge. People devoting themselves to one don’t usually pay much attention to the other. Being a naturalist and studying weather patterns or marine wildlife or sediment deposition at a delta or how bacteria act as cloud nuclei sounds like a very different direction from being a historian or a political or social scientist and studying how to resolve international disputes.

But we can’t afford to think that way anymore. We need to apply every field of knowledge to environment. In the following paragraphs, we will begin doing just that.

Our education system must comprehensively teach the knowledge outlined below in order to raise a generation of Pakistanis who can steer the nation towards safeguarding the natural environment.

When studying the world around us, we always need certain tools to help us. One very important toolkit is mathematics. Ah, math. It is something that teachers always push on students all the time in class. It makes a big part of any proper education. That is because mathematics is essential for comprehending the way the world is. It is basically making your brain skilled enough to grasp reality. When you are good at math, you will be good at, by knowing one thing, knowing what else logically follows and you can measure up everything.

For example, by studying simple physics, you know that carbon dioxide absorbs infrared radiation, so it tends to make the Earth warmer when it is in the atmosphere. But it is only when you are good at math that you can find out things that look quite difficult to know, such as how much carbon dioxide in the atmosphere can cause how much warming and how does the increase in CO2 correspond to an increase in global temperatures. And as for something that is really difficult, we need to know how temperatures around the globe can be averaged out to form a big picture, because you can’t just say the world is warming by looking at how hot it is in certain places. Some high-level math is need for mastering this.

Math isn’t a field all by itself but the field behind all fields, including the environment. So you can’t be a good environmental expert without being a good mathematician.

Now, we enter the realm of science. In fact, environmental studies largely consist of science. When you know your science, you’ll be an expert on the environment. Science is the study of the universe all around us. With science, you study how the world is and how it works in physical terms. An essential part of this is studying the universal laws that govern everything. Fundamental principles determine how the universe can be, so we need to know them to fully grasp the universe. There are two scientific fields that are dedicated to this and are therefore fundamental to all of science, physics and chemistry.

Physics is the study, essentially, of how things work, of the mechanisms behind the behavior of the world. Environmental affairs are just one of the countless areas in which it is needed. Knowing physics enables you to know all about how the processes involved in environmental change work, so to be a good environmental scientist, you have to be good at physics. Physics is needed for finding and developing environmental solutions, such as where development of technology is concerned. Technological innovation has always entirely relied on physics (and chemistry).

Of the many branches of physics, the most important can be considered the study of energy. Energy is needed for everything that happens in the universe. It is fundamental to our world. The study of energy has particular importance in environmental issues due to mankind’s demand for energy being one of the basic causes of environmental degradation and environmental degradation occurring mostly through the flow of energy across the natural world being disturbed. The other broad field of physics is mechanics, which is the study of how things work, specifically how matter works. Matter is the physical material making up the world. Knowledge of the laws of forces and motion is a must for knowing about the world, as is the material properties of things.

Of the specific things to study in physics, heat energy is essential because it is a main driver of the workings of the world. Electromagnetism is the same, comprising much of the energy and forces running the world. Both are thus a general part of environmental science. Wave energy is a very big part of our world, so we got to know the various kinds of waves and how they work. Fluid mechanics is a branch of mechanics that is very important for environmental science, especially because air and water are behind almost every dynamic natural process. Nuclear physics is the basis of two important environmental topics, that nuclear energy is a big part of humanity’s prospects for developing clean energy and that radiological contamination, while uncommon, is a severe form of environmental harm when it happens.

There does not seem to be much in physics that is important to the environment, apart from the fact that you need to know how things on Earth interact with the planet’s gravity. However, the broadness of environmental topics means any field could be relevant in some place. There are three examples I can think of in which gravitational physics is environmentally relevant, the tides, Milankovitch cycles, and how Earth’s gravity varies across its surface, which especially has a big effect in determining changes in sea level. Whenever environmental scientists happen to busy themselves with these particular topics, they will have to dive into Newton’s theory of gravity. Like nuclear physics, gravitational physics is relevance to environmental study in only specific ways. Such fields may not be considered a prerequisite for becoming an environmental scientist, but can be studied when you decide to pursue certain environmental topics.

Two major fields of physics of (questionable) importance to the environmental picture are relativity and quantum mechanics. Relativity is physics of very long distances and very fast speeds, which are way out of the bounds of Earth’s environment. Quantum mechanics is physics at an extremely tiny scale. It is the foundation of everything, but not knowing it does not appear to be a severe handicap for an environmental scientist. The situation can be compared to how a zebra’s behavior is determined by its molecular and cellular biology, such as hormones and neurons, but an animal behaviorist does not need to know about any of that to be an expert on how zebras behave.

Quantum physics and relativity are “way out there” types of physics, which don’t directly describe the reality we observe up close. For this reason, some considered them to have no practical benefit, but we now credit these two fields to two of the greatest technological developments in human history, nuclear power and microelectronics. That may be how quantum, relativistic, and other such types of physics can be useful for environmental matters, not for studying the environment, but for seeking innovations for environmental benefits. It is akin to how scientists wishing to change a zebra’s behavior will have to tamper with its hormones and nervous system, requiring them to be fluent in hormonal and neural biology. Much of our quest for saving the environment lies in technological advancement. Since it is still impracticable to halt the march of civilization, we hope that we may one day achieve innovations that will allow humanity to coexist with the environment in a better way. In order to make that possible, we have to look in all directions, which includes diving down to the quantum level. It is safe to say, though, that environmental researchers can ignore physics that is really way out there, like string theory, at least for now.

Chemistry is the other main branch of science that describes the laws of the universe. It is the science of chemicals, thus being basically the study of how things are. That is because chemicals are the composition of all matter. We tend to think of chemicals as being the often nasty synthetic substances we make, which are behind much of the harm incurred by the environment, but the truth is that everything is made of chemicals. Water is a chemical, for example.

H2O, carbon dioxide, amino acids, polycarbonates, PVCs, or whatever, the chemistry of the natural and artificial world plays a fundamental role in environmental issues. By knowing chemistry, you gain the final set of tools needed for understanding these issues as well as being able to find solutions to environmental problems. It appears that the entire field of chemistry is of high environmental importance, with every topic being relevant in ways broad and specific, stoichiometry and chemical reactions, the periodic table, all types of chemical bonds, solutions and precipitation, acids and bases, ions, oxidation, electrochemistry, you name it.

Every category of chemicals plays an important role in environmental matters. One field of chemistry that is particularly important is organic chemistry. It is the chemistry of everything involving carbon. Carbon is a very important element because it can form a tremendous variety of chemical bonds, consequently, it is the basis of all life on Earth, plays a big role in many abiotic natural processes, and is a significant part of the human-built world, with most chemicals created by man being organic. As such, organic chemistry is of huge relevance to the environment.

So we have gone through mathematics, physics, and chemistry, all three of which function as a general toolkit for us. Once you are fully versed in these three areas, you become better at knowing much else. Suppose you are a master mathematician, physicist, and chemist all together. Any environmental topic you come across, it can be very easy for you to learn. We can call math, physics, and chemistry unifying fields for that reason. To illustrate this with an example, if you become an expert in one topic, Newtonian mechanics and associated calculus, you can be good at knowing an endless variety of other topics, such as how a rocket moves or how Usain Bolt runs or how tsunamis happen or how a diesel engine works or how kangaroos jump or how volcanoes erupt. This is generalized knowledge, and if you want to become an environmental scholar, it is worth your while to study such subjects first.

It is time for us now to move onto the numerous specific academic fields that are concerned in environmental studies.

Because environmental matters are all about how the natural environment is being exploited and altered by people, a fundamental part of environmental studies is a full knowledge of the natural world around us. For that, we have the natural sciences. Being an environmental expert in large part involves studying nature. The focus is Planet Earth and everything on it that constitutes the environment that harbors all life. We have to know all about how the natural environment, a deeply interconnected system, is and how it works.

If we are to pick a particular field of natural science, in fact any academic field, that encompasses environmental studies the most, we can say that is ecology. Ecology is the study of how all life on Earth interacts with each other and with the non-living aspects of Earth. Breaking down the basic definition of environmental issue, it is all about living things on Earth, humans and all other species, and how they are faring. It is actually the study of the environment hosting life and so is the core of environmental studies, so much so that the word “ecological” may be used in place of “environmental”, like when we put the prefix eco- before anything to do with environmental concerns.

In order to understand the environment harboring life, first we must understand the planet on which it exists. Scientists tend to divide the Earth’s natural environment into four main spheres, the lithosphere, the atmosphere, the hydrosphere, and the biosphere, and each have their respective scientific field of study, geology, meteorology- or rather atmospheric sciences, hydrology, and biology. Each field therefore is of fundamental importance to environmental studies. The first three are often grouped under the banner of earth sciences while biology, or life sciences, is set apart and on its own is a very major part of environmental study. It is behind most of environmental science, in fact. We can say ecology, a branch of biology, unites the four spheres of nature but right now, we have to look at each of the four scientific fields individually.

Geology is the study of the Earth itself, or rather its main body that everything is on. It is the science of the ground beneath our feet, the foundation of the environment. Geology’s main relevance to environmental science is in the characteristics of the Earth and how humanity interacts with it. Civilization largely runs on us digging into the Earth’s crust and extracting materials from it, a main driver of environmental damage. Geologic processes play a fundamental role in shaping the natural environment and are often influenced by human activity.

Environmental matters are heavily concerned with geology but we can say that geology is actually largely unconcerned with environmental matters. The Earth’s vast interior (and anything happening in it, like mantle plumes), which makes up almost the entire planet in terms of sheer scale, is entirely shut off from any interaction with humanity and dynamic geologic processes are usually very slow and work over long periods of time, in contrast to the flowing of water and the rushing of wind, and so have little relevance to the study of the natural environment except where our thinking extends to long periods of time. Plus, the few types of natural phenomena that largely escape human influence are mostly geological, like volcanic and tectonic activity. The part of the geologic world bearing all the relevance to environmental issues is the lithosphere, the entire, outermost layer of the Earth, and the part which is of huge, fundamental importance to environmental issues is the pedosphere, the layer of sediment which comprises most of the Earth’s surface and hence the basis of most natural environments.

There are many geological topics to study for environmental science. One that is very important is geologic resources, how the lithosphere provides us with what we need. And in general, you must study the rocks and minerals making up the Earth’s crust, everything else that is in the Earth’s crust, the rock cycle and how materials pass out of the lithosphere and into the rest of the environment and vice versa, and how geology determines what different parts of the world are like. The Earth’s sediment is, of course, of very broad importance, especially soil. Two geologic processes of enormous importance to the natural environment and hence to humanity’s impact on it are weathering and erosion.

An important part of studying geology in environmental research is that you get a sense of how slowly it took for geological forces to make the natural world the way it is and how rapid in comparison are the human forces that are altering the natural world, often undoing geological forces. You then realize how our impact on the natural world does not easily get reversed and throws the balance of nature out of whack. And in general, you learn how the mark we are leaving on the lithosphere is such a fundamental driver of the degradation of our natural environment.

The atmosphere is the outer component of the entire Earth, the layer of gases wrapping around our planet and serving as the upward background of the entire natural environment. The general study of the atmosphere is called atmospheric sciences. An important subfield of atmospheric sciences is meteorology. It is the study of weather, the dynamic atmospheric activity that mostly goes on in the lower levels of the atmosphere, the troposphere and stratosphere. Climatology is the study of the climate, how weather activity sums up in general and the rules guiding it. Some might think that meteorology is the science of the atmosphere, but “atmospheric sciences” is actually the term encompassing every aspect of the entire atmosphere right up to the edge of outer space.

When it comes to environmental matters, atmospheric matters are overbearing. Highly dynamic, driven by the Sun’s energy, the atmosphere plays a huge role in the natural world, essentially shaping the natural environment. Most natural phenomena are weather-related and the climate is central to how the face of the planet is. On top of all this, humanity is exerting an enormous influence on the Earth’s atmosphere. That is because, in terms of sheer scale, the atmospheric is miniscule, covering the planet like a coating of varnish around a ball. You add in the fact that the Earth’s “varnish” is also very low-density, permeable, and highly active and you can see why it changes at the slightest disturbance. So to sum it up, the atmosphere shapes the natural world to a huge degree and human beings shape the atmosphere to a huge degree. It is therefore the channel through which much of the world’s human-derived environmental change is conducted.

Most atmosphere-related environmental degradation, though, can be divided into two categories, air pollution and climate change. Air pollution derived from human activities tends to be seriously harmful to human beings and other life-forms and comes in a wide variety of forms. But while most forms of air pollution are narrow-ranging, most of the effects of human activity are adding up together to change the very climate of the entire globe. This is mostly through us releasing large amounts of greenhouse gases into the air, causing global warming. Global climate change is considered the top environmental issue and it is predicted to fundamentally alter natural environments across the world in ways far out of our reach.

To understand all these very big problems, we have to study the science of the atmosphere, especially meteorology and climatology. As you delve into this subject, you must know first of all that the atmosphere is very much interconnected with itself and with the world underneath. Factors that shape the atmosphere therefore usually have wide-ranging effects and the global climate contains the sum of all these effects being mixed up together. Almost every aspect of the planet shapes weather and climate in some way, such as solar radiation, airborne dust, ocean currents, plant life, animal life, microbial life, the shape of the Earth’s terrain, the color of Earth’s surface, rocks and minerals, volcanic activities, etc. Now that human activity has come into this mix, it is of great importance to us to understand everything about how the atmosphere works.

Hydrology is the study of the Earth’s hydrosphere, which is fundamental to environmental matters and to Earth in general despite being the term for the presence of just one substance on our planet, water. Water’s presence is significant, as it exists in large quantities and behaves in a wide variety of ways. 70 percent of Earth’s surface is covered in water, it shapes our planet in profound ways, and is the foundation of all life on Earth. Life needs water in great quantities to exist and so water shapes how life is present on Earth. Water is also crucial to civilization. We need it for drinking and for producing our food, of course, and water also has an endless variety of other uses for us.

Unfortunately, the hydrosphere has proven to be very vulnerable to human influence, with severe consequences. A very, very large number of environmental issues are water-related, such as water pollution, desertification, aquifer depletion, ocean acidification, melting of glaciers, shrinking of rivers and lakes, changes in ocean currents, acid rain, climate-change driven storms and flooding, the effects of deforestation, spread of waterborne diseases, etc. And generally, water plays a key role in how the environmental changes we are inflicting on Earth are happening. To understand all this, you must immerse yourself in hydrology.

That is no small subject. The hydrosphere is highly complex and, in the form of the water cycle, interconnected. Water also interacts with everything else in the world so much that the hydrosphere merges with the lithosphere, atmosphere, and biosphere in most places. Water is a big part of the atmosphere as vapor and drives the weather to a large degree, it is a potent geologic agent in the form of flowing water, ocean waves, and glacial ice, and it is the main component of the bodies of every living thing on Earth.

There is so much to study in hydrology and studying hydrology will help you know so much. And it all boils down to just that one single substance, water. You first and foremost should study this remarkable substance, so ubiquitous because it has among the most complex physical and chemical characteristics of all the known substances in the universe. Understanding the physics and chemistry of water is therefore an extensive subject in itself, and once you master it, all in hydrology can follow. And once you become proficient in the study of water, the giver of all life, you gain much of the knowledge needed for tackling environmental issues.

For all its influence, water’s biggest importance to Planet Earth is providing the existence of what makes Earth stand out in the universe we know of, life. The biosphere describes the overall presence of life on the planet, but this single term cannot encompass the really complex and widespread nature of life, the study of which, as mentioned, is called biology or life sciences. The role life plays in environmental sciences is so profound that it cannot be summed up in one paragraph or even succinctly described in this article. But we will do an overview of what it means for us. Just know that by reaching biology, you have reached the subject that lies at the heart of environmental matters.

Biology is such a big field that researchers typically only occupy themselves with one of the many subdivisions of biology. The most basic of these fields are molecular and cellular biology. You get to know the fundamentals of life and that enables you to go a long way in environmental science. These subjects can help you get down to the root of many environmental processes and are useful in prediction and innovation. Just be warned that molecular and cellular biology are really, really complex fields. That is because life is that complex. It wouldn’t be so special if it weren’t.

Biodiversity is the term encompassing the variety of life on Earth. If you want to know about life, you will have to know about all the different kinds of life. With several million described species, that is also a really, really big field. But just know what you need to. There are considered to be three kinds of biodiversity, ecosystem diversity, species diversity, and genetic diversity. All are important. Genes, species, and ecosystems are said to be the three main aspects of life on Earth.

We will start with genes, the science of which is called genetics. Genetics plays a role in environmental studies in many ways. It defines the various forms of life and determines how traits get passed from offspring to offspring to make life the way it is. You can study the genetic responses of organisms to environmental changes and what effect environmental changes have on an organism’s genetics. Genetics play a big role in population dynamics. One serious issue in conservation biology is that if the population of a certain kind of organism declines to a number close to extinction, it will suffer from a genetic bottleneck, the loss of its genetic diversity, even if the population recovers. Genetic diversity is often overlooked in conservation science, because we tend to focus on species, but the truth is that different genes can also go extinct and we usually wouldn’t want that to happen because different genes have a part to play in our world.

Genetics is foundational to evolution, the mostly long-term science of how life changes in form. It is good to know evolution when it comes to environmental matters. Conservation issues exist in large part due to the fact that living things evolve so slowly that they cannot adapt to man-made environmental changes. We also must know if adaptation is possible. Also, evolution happens quicker the smaller organisms are and evolutionary changes in small life-forms will likely be a big part of the environmental changes people are causing.

Moving onto species, it is actually just one of the many levels of divisions scientists put life into. They classify life on Earth into different groups, classed into main levels, kingdom, phylum, class, order, family, and species. But scientists have also more levels of classification in the taxonomic tree of life, like domains and subspecies. The term for cataloguing all these different kinds of life is taxonomy. Each taxonomic group often has its own ecological role to play in the world. Knowing taxonomy is basically how you memorize the variety of life-forms.

Major branches of biology are dedicated to the different types of life. One very broad field is microbiology, which is the study of minute life-forms composed of one cell. Microbes consist of viruses, bacteria, archaea, protists, and many fungi. Microbes are invisible and thus easy to overlook but they are a very fundamental part of the world. Their importance in both the natural and human-built environments is huge. One might say microbes are the dominant part of the biosphere in terms of how much they run the world. A major role of microbes in the world is as decomposers. They break down organic substances and release it into the environment as nutrients. They produce many of the chemicals that make up the world.

Bacteriology is the study of bacteria. They are perhaps the dominant type of single-celled organism, so their study is the most important. Virology is the study of viruses, which are a very basal form of life. They cannot even eat on their own but they have a big role to play, keeping populations of more complex microbes in check, sickening and killing many multi-celled organisms, and spreading genes across different organisms. Protists are complex microbes. They are less important than bacteria but have a near-universal presence and occupy the entire range of ecological niches. Archaea are not as abundant a form of life as the other groups. They are mostly extremophiles, living in extreme conditions for life. Their main relevance in environmental matters might be that they will take over whenever environmental degradation gets ‘that bad.’

The study of fungi is mycology. Fungi can be single-celled or multi-celled. They have a fundamental role in the world, mostly by acting as decomposers, thus playing a large part in the recycling and flow of nutrients through the environment. Some consider them the world’s primary decomposers. Many fungi also have a very important role by acting as symbionts with other organisms (it is believed almost all plants in the world obtain nutrients with fungal help) or by being pathogenic agents. Finally, many fungi have important uses for human beings.

There are few environmental concerns directly involving fungi. Fungi are normally so resilient as to be rarely endangered and so widespread as to rarely be invasive (by way of being carried at least). But usually, environmental changes cause ecologically harmful declines or ecologically harmful rise in certain fungi. Environmental change is also how they may be introduced to new places, because they could not live there before. The global spread of fungi is predicted to be a major effect of global warming, leading to severe agricultural losses and decline in many wildlife populations.

On the flipside, fungi can be used in many methods of environmental protection, such as being used for natural pest control so that harmful synthetic pesticides do not have to be used. Scientists in fact believe the kingdom of fungi holds countless secrets that could ultimately help us save the environment. We just have a long way to go in uncovering them, because mycology is a very underdeveloped field. As diverse and important as they are, fungi are not as well-known as plants and animals. They basically run the planet from the shadows.

Photosynthetic organisms are the most important kind of life-form as they are at the base of the food chain, creating their own food through sunlight. They produce the oxygen that makes up a big part of the atmosphere. A big portion of photosynthetic life-forms are microbial and aquatic, like cyanobacteria and algae. They are easy to overlook because they are tiny and/or hidden in water, but they probably are more important for the planet than the land-based plants that we are more familiar with and which exert a more imposing presence. The study of algae is called phycology and the study of plants is called botany.

Botany is a major part of environmental sciences because plants are a very large component of the natural environment. They play a very big role in shaping the planet itself. Among many other things, they create most of the sediment on Earth, prevent it from being eroded, greatly increase the evaporation of water from the ground into the atmosphere, alter the Earth’s albedo, and remove carbon dioxide, the main greenhouse gas, from the atmosphere. As for the living world, plants made up its matrix. Plants are actually among the few life-forms that create habitats. Most other life-forms on land are surrounded by plants. Plants make up much of their world, in addition to being the ultimate source of food for all life on land.

Human beings have big effects on the world’s plants. The environmental changes we cause often lead to plant declines and we directly clear the Earth of vegetation on a huge scale by using them or getting them out of the way. This has huge environmental repercussions and what we do to plants is a major part of what we do to the Earth. Conservation is so far not a major part of environmental botany because declines in plant populations usually only harm the environment but not threaten the survival prospects of the plant species themselves. We still must not forget that there are plant species out there at risk of extinction.

Now, we are onto the animal kingdom, the study of which is called zoology. It is not very obvious at first what the importance of animals is to the planet. Their presence is not as universal as microbes and not as imposing as plants. But they are the final link in the chain of life. Being large and able to move around, their place in the natural world is vital. They trim the Earth of other organisms like plants and recycle organic matter, enriching the environment, among other roles.

The animal kingdom plays a central role in environmental concerns. Of all the major groups of living things, animals are the most vulnerable to human threats. Many animal wildlife populations are declining, with often debilitating ecological effects, and most species of concern in the field of conservation are animals. Animal populations rising when they shouldn’t are also a significant concern, with invasive animals and animal ecological imbalances being very common problems. Animals play a part in humanity’s influence on the natural world in countless ways. Due to simply the fact that they are such a big part of the natural world, we must know all about animals in order that we can better manage our control over the planet.

The fields of study devoted to different kinds of animals tend to be very well-developed on their own. We will only look at major examples. Entomology is the study of insects. Insects are the most numerous group of animals, with millions of species everywhere on land, and are thus a major part of the terrestrial biosphere. Few insects are known to be endangered, but the importance of this group means they play a very big role in environmental concerns. Also, we should study entomology because when insects are endangered, we usually do not know.

Vertebrate biology is crucial because vertebrates reign supreme in the animal kingdom on large-scale. Fish, the study of which is called ichthyology, are all the vertebrates that live and breathe in water, thus playing a big environmental role. Environmental concerns about them are so big because they (along with some other aquatic life) are the only major group of animals to be regularly eaten by humans without being cultivated and so are being over harvested on a grand scale everywhere.

Herpetology is the study of reptiles and amphibians, which have a very widespread global presence, but not as much as the other major groups of vertebrates. Their abundance varies across the planet, but generally, being ill-adapted to cold temperatures, amphibians and reptiles are most abundant in tropical climates, which is also where the Earth’s biodiversity in general is the greatest.

Ornithology is the study of birds. Due to the fact that most of them have the power of flight, given them great advantages and the ability to move easily over all of the Earth’s surface, birds are an extremely widespread and important group of animals and so figure prominently in environmental processes and environmental concerns.

Mammals, the study of which is called mammalogy, are a dominant group of vertebrates, especially on the large scale. On that account, mammals are a big part of the biosphere and occupy a particular presence in conservation concerns, since big animals are highly prone to being endangered and their decline tends to have large-scale environmental effects.

And finally, in order to take everything in biology we have learned and put it all together into its environmental context, we have ecology. Here is where we reach ecosystems. We have already gone over how ecology is most important in environmental studies. Now, we’ll see what it is about. Ecology takes the subject beyond the individual organism and into the wider world around it, the relationship of life-forms to the environment. Ecology studies three levels of that relationship. First is population ecology, concerning the relations of individuals within a single species. Second is community ecology, concerning the relations of all different kinds of organisms. Third is ecosystem ecology, concerning the relations of organisms and the abiotic world (atmosphere, hydrosphere, and lithosphere).

Ecology is all about how the natural environment that living things comprise functions. It studies how energy and resources flow through the living environment and how the balance of life on Earth is maintained. Human beings are disturbing that balance in countless ways, which is responsible for environmental degradation. Knowledge of the extensive field of ecology enables us to know all about how it is happening, how human beings managed to get to the position in which they are doing it, what consequences our actions have, and how we can solve such problems.

Now we know all that we can about the natural world and the way that it is. But there is one more thing to learn, and that is the way it was, Earth’s past. It is a vast field of science but in which there remains much to discover. We know little about the history of the natural world, and we appear to have little incentive to change that. One might think that it has little relevance to environmental matters, which is about what is happening to the natural environment right now and within the span of human history. But it turns out that delving into the past 4.5 billion years of Earth is actually very useful for us.

The global environmental situation is all about the natural world changing because of human influence. In order for us to confidently know how these changes are happening and what changes are going to happen, we need to look at the changes that already happened. The record of the past is the most reliable way to gauge how the world works. It usually takes millions of years for the natural world to change in significant ways. In fact, human civilization is causing changes so severe that it usually takes eons for changes of such scale to naturally happen. We have to look back that far to help us predict what present changes will lead to. There have also been past events in Earth altering the environment with similar rapidity to what is going on now, and these precedents are perhaps the most useful. We are furthermore better able to know if current environmental trends are really human-related or not. Studying the Earth’s past also gives us important insights into how the Earth is now which otherwise would be harder to gain.

When you extend your inquiry of the natural environment into the long-term past, many of the topics already mentioned, which have been explained as not being of overall great environmental relevance, then attain importance because they are the forces shaping Earth’s development over the ages, such as relativity, gravitational interactions, tectonic drift, mantle plumes, and evolution. There is no clear-cut term for the study of Earth’s past. You can call it paleontology, but many also use that for just the study of past life. Whatever you call it, scientific study of the Earth’s past is perhaps among the most difficult of all scientific fields to make discoveries in. It involves examining the traces of past events remaining in the Earth, but traces tend to be destroyed by later events. The traces that are well-protected tend to be hidden deep in the Earth, where it is difficult to access them. The Earth, being as dynamic and constantly changing as it is, does not leave behind a record designed for being read. Scientists need the mind of a forensic scientist to read what it does leave behind. We better do it, because it is really important for us to learn about the processes of great change in Earth’s history before we experience such change for ourselves.

We are now done with the natural world, the inquiry into our planet itself. It is now time to move onto the other half of the equation, the study of humanity and the world that it has created. It is easy to learn, as we are studying our own kind, but it is also, all by itself, a very, very complex subject.

Technology is the best place to start. Behind every single way that human beings impact the environment, there lies our technological and engineering prowess. It is through our tools that the human race has obtained dominance over the planet and the capability to alter it, making the technological sciences, as well as engineering, hugely critical to the entire field of environmental studies. If you are going to be an environmental researcher, chances are that you will have to be well-versed in technology and engineering. It is very common for people to pursue these two fields, but if the environment is on their mind, their knowledge of tech may have to be considerably broad. That won’t be easy due to the huge variety in all the technology and engineering that civilization has created, runs on, and impacts the environment with.

On the whole, technology enables every human activity that harms the environment, so knowing about the technology involved is worth your while when studying environmental harm. But in addition, much of the world’s technology is of such a nature that its very creation, use, and existence is responsible for environmental damage and that is where the focus is on technology and engineering. Making things often uses up natural resources. Most of humanity’s products end up as waste that pollutes the Earth. The structures we build often directly alter the natural environment. And our enormous demand for energy to run the machines that drive modern civilization is one of the biggest forces ravaging the planet.

Technology and engineering may be behind all environmental problems, but they can also provide us with many of our solutions, our main hope in fact. It can be either through designing technology and engineering in such a way as to make them more environmentally-friendly or through actually using technology and engineering to mitigate environmental harm. If you are seeking to become involved in saving the environment, chances are that you are going to have to get involved in this sort of thing.

It is now time for us to move onto the study of us, the very human species, and the societies we create. Anthropology is the term for the general study of the human species. It is a scientific field and it mostly looks at human beings as a biological construct. In fact, we must not neglect the biological nature of humanity in environmental matters. Human beings are living organisms, very unique organisms, who occupy a position in the ecological balance of life which right now is getting way out of bounds, and to study how this race of highly intelligent, sophisticated beings are altering the planet, we have to first look at what these beings are, what they are like, what is their very nature.

That includes studying their capabilities and their needs, their demands, and their wants which dictate their relationship to the world around them. The science of human behavior, comprising behavioral anthropology, is crucial. An integral part of it is psychology, which intimately studies the human mind.

We also need to study the human body. It is called human physiology. We could say that in environmental studies, the human body is the most important living body to study out of all the individual living species in the world. Just like living things in general, the human body is extremely complex. There is in fact much about it that we have yet to discover. Perhaps some of those secrets could hold the key to saving the planet.

The biggest aspect of the relationship of human beings with the world around them concerns the food we eat. Food is all the substances in world (except water and oxygen) which need to go into our bodies to sustain and nourish us. The human diet plays a very big role in humanity’s impact on the natural world. To study this vital subject, we turn to nutrition and food science. However mundane such a topic of study sounds, the science of food and human nutrition is a very, very complex field. You can tell by the endless variety of food available for you to eat, unless you are poor, and how much you can study if you get into a cooking class. The cooking class, by the way, is just one place, though it may not be readily apparent, into which you can bring environmental action, where you can act to save the planet.

Every subject that we have gone over is placed under the umbrella of STEM (science, technology, engineering, and mathematics). What is left for us to explore from here can be classified as the humanities. Humanity is the driving force behind all environmental issues and so can be considered the center of environmental matter. So last, but not least, we shall study human society and the ways by which civilization operates, giving us core insight into the processes behind manmade environmental change.

Social sciences is a general term for studies pertaining to human society. It is not very well defined. But first, we start with a subject that is well defined, sociology. Sociology is the study of the masses, of how human society functions in terms of the ordinary people making it up. This is crucial to environmental matters. It is often overlooked, but the real driving force behind human impact on the environment is everybody. A single ordinary individual alone does not really cause any harm through lifestyle choices and actions. But there are 7 billion others like us on this planet and when you add up all the people around us, they together are the force laying waste to the natural environment through what they are doing.

Sociology is the field that studies this, looking at what happens as a result of the sum of the actions of the individuals comprising the society. Sociologists can’t be aware of the individual. They cannot know each person, but they can know the common patterns in human behavior, what sort of behavior is how common and what effect it has on the society as a whole. We also must know what effect it has on the environment as a whole. Sociology is vital for us in this regard, because what ordinary people, the seven billion in total, decide to do plays a fundamental role in human impact on the environment. Most environmental actions have to take into account the behavior of ordinary people and whether they will comply with policies in favor of a healthy environment.

Sociology may be about what people do. But just as consequential to the environment is there being people at all. The fact that the human population stands at seven billion itself is responsible for tremendous impact on the natural environment. To get to know this, we need demography. It is the study of human populations and what kind of people there are. It studies not only the size of populations but how populations change through birth, death, and movement, the number of people with certain characteristics such as religion, language, and race, and the age and gender ratios of a society. Overpopulation is one of the causes of environmental degradation and doing something about it is one of the most important goals of environmental protection. We must know how it is happening and the factors behind population dynamics like the youthfulness of populations of developing countries.

Every human society, of course, has guidance in the form of some sort of authority. The word for that is usually politics. Studying the political sphere of the world is of great important to the environment in many ways. Politics has always enabled and shaped human activities impacting the environment. It is also a big part of the solutions to environmental problems the world is seeking. In fact, it could be said that environmental protection largely relies upon the various forms of authority that govern society. The behavior of human civilization is behind environmental degradation, so centralized authorities are often required to curb such behavior. Most environmental solutions we can think of so far are political, with policies and laws being used to implement environmental protection. Therefore, to know how to protect the environment, we have to become familiar with politics. It is often called political science or simply politics.

Human authorities and political processes have always played an major role in the functioning of the world. There has been interaction between human impact on environment and the politics controlling human activity. So studying that will mean studying how to bring political change for the environment. We should also study the implications of different political systems for the environment. One common political phenomenon playing a big role in environmental concerns is war. In modern times, war tends to cause tremendous environmental harm. We should become involved, not only in how conflict affects the environment, but also in conflict itself and how to stop it from happening or make it happen in a controlled way to minimize harm.

Environmental phenomena do not pay any heed to borders and so tend to end up being of international concern. Human activity in one country can cause environmental harm in another. Solving environmental problems often requires the cooperation of several countries, every country in the world in some cases. Not only are international relations a big part of environmental matters but environmental matters are increasingly becoming a big part of international relations in this day and age.

Rules are always an integral part of governance. They are known as laws in that case and it so happens that the world has generally turned law into a whole domain of its own, separate and of great importance. That is because justice is considered a vital concept of its own. We need to see now how the environment is covered by justice. The study of the world of law is called legal studies and it is really wide-ranging in what it covers, since there are laws for most aspects of human life, and the environment now figures prominently in that coverage. Law is very important for the environment because it is for management of human activity. So when it comes to the activity harming the environment, law always has the potential to determine what happens and, in fact, environmental protection hinges a great deal upon law. One of the main ways to get human beings to stop harming the environment is to pass laws forbidding them and in, many cases, it seems to be the only practical solution. But using laws to protect the environment, or for anything else, is far from a simple matter and you need to dive into the immensely complicated field of legal studies to master it.

A crucial part of the political and legal world is how the common masses figure into it and for that, you have civics. In its strict definition, civics cover all those who are classified as citizens of a state. Civics covers the role they play with regards to the running of a country. Its scope is important for the environment. How people can be turned into good citizens of the Earth has a lot to do with how they function as good citizens of their country.

Sad to say, rules are meant to be broken and not everyone decides to be a good citizen. To study that all-too common phenomenon, we turn to the field of criminology, the study of crime, a type of social studies. It is an extensively pursued field, but the environmental aspect of it is not as developed as it should be, even though crime is highly consequential to the environment. Since laws are such an important means of implementing environmental protection, law-breaking is an important source of environmental damage (just note, though, that criminology covers only the activities that land you in a criminal court, not a civil court, even though the latter are also a major scourge of the environment). We see that in the widespread illegal trade in endangered natural resources all around the globe, all the poaching and all. My forecast for the future is that, in the absence of everything else, crime may become the world’s main environmental threat, because even if environmental protection is ever fully institutionalized, you can’t get everybody on board.

We now get onto one of the most important fields in human intellect and one that is of such high importance to environmental matters that even its name is derived from the same root as the name of the central environmental science, ecology. That field is economics, the study of the economy. Everything we have just gone over, sociology, politics, law, etc. can be considered the study of what human beings decide to do, but economics is the study of what they can do. Human civilization needs resources to exist, needs the flow and exchange of means to function and thrive, and the economy is the measure of it all.

So, of course, economy is pretty much behind all environmental degradation. People do things that harm the environment in order to service the economy, the prime goal of civilization. So we need to study economics. How the environment gets treated is shaped to a fundamental degree by events and processes in commerce, business, and finance. The solutions we are seeking for the environment hinge in large part upon the economy, how we shape the economy to make it more environmentally-friendly and how we use economic methods to solve environmental problems. We also need to know how economic factors figure into every kind of solution we look for, whether it is developing new eco-friendly technology like renewable energy or pushing for legislation putting restrictions on harmful activities like industrial pollution.

Economics is a very complicated field. If people bother to pursue it to the huge extent that they do, it is mostly for their own benefit, because economic activity is how you make a living. But we need to use this science for working for the well-being of the planet so that all life on it can continue living. It can be hard to explain what the essence of economics is, but to break it down, when you know the economy, you know at the fundamental level how human civilization operates, how it came to be the way it is, and how its relations with the natural world work.

Our last remaining field in the study of the human world is history. It is the study of the human past, everything that happened in the world, and so of course combines the other human subjects above into a chronology. It is a very big field, one of the biggest out there, we can say. It is also considered one of the most important. The importance of history is often expressed in the saying that those who don’t remember the past are doomed to repeat it. But that is rather specific. History, as a record of how the world has been, teaches us all about how the world functions and by describing the events of the past leading to the world we live in now, it makes it easier for us to understand our present world. Historians study the facts about what happened and analyze them to determine the factors guiding the course of history.

Now, history as an academic field is usually dedicated to strictly human affairs. But when we incorporate environmental affairs into the study of the past, we have to bring the past of the natural world into the fold. We are now going to look at the entire history of human beings impacting the natural environment. It is distinct from the paleo-science we dealt with earlier, which is about the history of the natural world before man made influence.

History’s importance for the environment is particularly high. This is because environmental issues are all about how the natural environment used to be pristine and normal but human beings started to influence it more and more over time, leading to the problems we have now. As a result, a view towards the past is an innate part of environmental knowledge.

History is useful in many ways. In order to make a thorough assessment of environmental degradation, you need to know what the environment was like before that degradation set in. Also, much of the changes made to the environment are the result of human activity stretching far back in time, so you also have to delve that far back to know why such changes are here. There is widespread debate about whether some types of environmental change observed today are really the result of human activity or if they are entirely natural. A vital method in resolving such questions is studying the environmental changes that already occurred within the span of human history and finding out what caused them. We need to study the human events behind environmental change. In addition, when we look at all the past situations in which human beings treated the environment better than they do now, we can apply their ways to the present. We need to look at how environmental change influenced human societies.

So we need to embark on a journey into the past. That entails a global perspective, because the entire world’s past, known as world history, can be studied for environmental purposes. We thus need to ascertain which areas of history are important in which way. The world has not been a monolithic bloc for most of history, which is why terms like Medieval History are not a good way of classifying world history, because the word “medieval” describes only circumstances in Europe. Of course, Europe tends to be the historical focus in western education (which has rubbed off on non-western countries due to colonization), but environmental education will require us to abandon that narrow view and look at the entire globe in intimate ways, even if Europe has particular relevance in being the root of modern environment problems (more on that shortly). If we are to divide history for environmental purpose, the best way to do it is not chronologically but in terms of the stages of the development of civilization.

A very important question in environmental history (as with any history course) is when and where to begin. The history in question is the history of humans influencing the environment in artificial manners, but we don’t just have to start right at where that first began. We can also look at its background and get to know the processes leading to it. But as for the question of when it all began, we can say first that the world truly was thoroughly natural when all human beings lived in the Old World tropics. Then, in the late Pleistocene epoch, they spread throughout Europe, northern Asia, Australia, and the Americas, a movement that was accompanied by mass extinction of all the megafauna there. The human arrivals therefore were likely responsible, making it the world’s first man made environmental degradation (and what a start!). This is where we can begin, therefore, although it is really so far back that it is ambiguous if the late Pleistocene mass extinction could be considered part of history or paleo-science. All we may say, perhaps, is that those events serve as the progeniture, the primeval genesis, of a situation that now engulfs the entire planet.

It was not until the invention of agriculture, happening all over the world in the early Holocene period, that man-made environmental impact really started to kick off. It is thus in these times that our historical study really begins. We should find out how agriculture was invented and what impact it had from the beginning. Agriculture made possible the steady development of civilization over the next several thousand years, so next we have to pay attention to this era of time, comprising most of world history. While the world as a whole during this time was highly diverse, the entire age can be classified under the term “pre-modern history”.

Compared to modern times, the Earth saw little man-made environmental degradation during the 10,000 years of pre-modern history. That is because human civilization existed on a small scale, grew very slowly over time, and was very unevenly distributed, with some parts of the world remaining free of it altogether. Nevertheless, the study of the many millennia before modern times has high importance to environmental studies. We need to know how people and nature interacted all this time for many reasons. Firstly, the very fact that human activity went on for several thousand years is responsible for changing the natural world in major ways. In much of the world, the environment we are destroying today is really the environment created by our predecessors over the ages. More often than not, human activity way back in the past has effects lasting to this day. Furthermore, people across the ancient world also often lived in harmony with nature, so we need to know how. Where human impact upon the environment really happened in earnest, we need to how people began to damage the environment and how.

The defining environmental feature of the pre-modern age is that civilization was largely static, changing only very little for long periods of time. Consequently, human activity impacting the environment tended to last for long periods of time with little in the way of further development. This provides us with crucial insights. Firstly, it means that environmental degradation in many cases was allowed to run its full course. Nowadays, the world is so rapidly developing that the damage already inflicted has little effect because we, so far, can go on to exploit the environment even more. But in the millennia of old, people kept exploiting the environment at the same level perpetually. They thus often experienced the ultimate results of their actions. In many cases, it was that the environment sustaining them collapsed, which then often resulted in the collapse of their civilization. The fall of many civilizations in world history is attributed by historians to environmental change. In some cases, it may have been entirely natural, but in many other cases, it was likely self-inflicted. We need to know when and how this happened and what lessons it holds for today.

Finally, we need to study the age of “today” and what led to it. Therefore, we move onto our final area of study, Modern History, the era of history which lasts to the present and which began, by most considerations, around six to five centuries ago. This part of history is what takes center stage in environmental affairs and is of main importance to us. That is because it is within the last five centuries that the natural world began to really buckle under the weight of human civilization, because the growth of civilization took a great leap forward and proceeded at a rapidly accelerating scale which continues today.

And what happened to make this possible? Beginning with Portuguese and Spanish voyages into the Atlantic Ocean in the 1400s, people from the continent of Europe explored and reached out to the entire globe, subsequently also colonizing, occupying a major commercial presence in, and dominating most of it. As a result of this worldwide revolution in human affairs, they created a highly interconnected globe enabling the world to develop so rapidly that in a few hundred years, we’ve gone from wooden sailing ships plying the seas to spacecraft traveling across the solar system. Along with this tremendous progress comes a tremendous cost in terms of the health of the natural environment of Earth. In order for us to know about the situation the entire world is now in, we need to know how it all came to be.

It is no simple matter. Modern history is as complex as the world it has produced. Nowadays, environmental damage is mostly the result of how much civilization is growing, but previously, for most of modern history, westerners and the people they influenced actually behaved in a thoroughly environmentally destructive manner. As they colonized and spread across the world, westerners exploited nature as much as they could, leaving behind a legacy and a mark on the world that is tremendous. We need to study how the environment was and how indigenous societies treated it before western influence. Then, we move onto recent history, beginning around the early to mid-twentieth century, when the world created by western dominance came into its final form. It was in those times that the world finally became conscious of environmental issues, but by then, it was too late, rendering environmental protection the great challenge it is now.

Having engaged in this voyage, we put the circumstances of the present-day and all that may happen in the future into their context, which gives us a clear perspective on the global environmental crisis. In studying environmental history, every subject we have taken a look at in this overview, has to be put together and woven into a comprehensive account of all that is already past. This, in turn, helps us to understand what is happening now and enables us to predict what may happen in the future, the view towards which is another innate part of environmental knowledge. The future, in fact, is the main environmental concern, because where we are going from here is the most important question. In order to answer that question, in order to prepare for the future and take control of it, we must possess as much knowledge as we can and we must practice as thorough an understanding of it as we can. It is in this endeavor of ours that hope for our Earth’s natural environment rests.

About the Author:
Shahzeb Khan is a blogger, opinion columnist, and environmental activist. He authored the children’s book The Tiny King and the Evil Sorcerer, written to inculcate environmental awareness in young minds. He is the co-director of Pakistan’s People-Led Disaster Management and in charge of its research department. His personal blog is https://jshahzebkhan.wordpress.com/.

March 23, 2019: The Importance of Knowledge in Moving Pakistan Forward

Today, we celebrate 23rd March, 2019, Pakistan Day. It is a day that commemorates the Lahore Resolution of 23rd of March, 1940, wherein the leaders of the All India Muslim League, led by Muhammad Ali Jinnah, met at Lahore to formally adopt the call for Indian Muslims to have their own independent country, thus beginning the movement to create the nation of Pakistan. That dream was realized seven years later on 14th August, 1947, the anniversary of which is now observed by Pakistan as Independence Day. Pakistan Day, for its part, is the holiday dedicated to the genesis of the very nation of Pakistan.

Every 23rd March, the government hosts parades and a ceremony in Islamabad to recognize the meritorious service of citizens whose labor strengthened Pakistan. This Pakistan Day, we will be having a joint military parade with various countries including the People’s Republic of China. In addition to our customary joy and fanfare over how our nation’s existence came to be, we observe each Pakistan Day with reflection over the meaning of our nationhood, how far our nation has come since creation and where we stand today, and a reaffirmed commitment to build a prosperous future for the nation.

However, a dark pall hangs over our nation this year as we celebrate.

Last year, in the run-up to Pakistan Day, I heard the thunderous sound of fighter jets in the sky several times. It was the Pakistan Air Force practicing for the Pakistan Day Parade. This year, as 23 March drew near, I again heard the same sounds, emanating from the sky at an even faster rate. This time, however, it was for a very different reason. The Air Force was responding to the intense escalation in hostility between India and Pakistan, which erupted after Indian warplanes crossed the Line of Control in Kashmir for the first time since the war of 1971 that tore our nation apart.

That standoff occurred as a result of a bomb attack on Indian security forces in Kashmir on 14 February. India then flew fighter jets into northern Pakistan on 26 February, claiming they were bombing a militant training camp. Pakistan retaliated by downing two Indian warplanes, one in Pakistan and the other across the Line of Control. In the few days afterwards, the two countries exchanged aerial attacks and artillery fire across the LoC in the disputed territory of Kashmir. The military confrontation continued for several days and is now replaced by a quiet yet tense standoff.

We celebrate Pakistan Day this year in the wake of a crisis that brought our nation to the brink of war. The danger that confronted us and which is still hanging around cannot be understated, as both India and Pakistan are nuclear-armed and a nuclear war could kill tens of millions of people. That this year’s 23rd March is spent in such circumstances is a stark reminder of the seriousness of the Kashmir dispute, an issue that in fact has plagued Pakistan ever since our nation came into being. It is actually one of Pakistan’s many chronic problems. The truth is that in its seven decades of history, Pakistan has struggled in many ways and much has been holding it back. Many say that Jinnah’s vision for Pakistan has yet to be fully realized.

Seven decades of Indo-Pak conflict may even be responsible for many of the ailments that plague Pakistan. Pakistan has had to devote much of its resources to defense and national security, contributing to widespread poverty and lack of development. The constant security threat caused periodic martial rule, impeding the orderly political development of the country. The tensions within Kashmir contributed to the rise and spread of militancy in the wider region, not to mention the constant threat of terrorism.

So this is where Pakistan stands today. A territorial dispute that should have been a teething problem for a newly independent region has never come close to being resolved and has been a source of consistent trouble, playing a significant role in shaping our nation. Going through the latest trouble it has given us, we have to ask ourselves how the Kashmir dispute, a tragedy for Kashmir’s people, a burden for Pakistan, and a danger for all involved, could have happened.

The Kashmir issue is customarily traced to 1947 and the Radcliff Boundary Award, but its roots are deeper. There was once a time that Kashmir, a Muslim-majority region, was under Muslim rule, but it fell to the Sikh Empire in 1819. The British took over Kashmir in 1846 and gave it to a Hindu clan known as the Dogras, as a reward for helping them defeat the Sikh Empire. The Hindu rulers of the Muslim princely state of Kashmir, therefore, do not have the legitimacy other hereditary rulers of princely estates in India do. After the British left more than a century later and princely states had the option of joining Pakistan or India, Kashmir’s Muslim populace wanted to join Pakistan and its Hindu ruler wanted to join India. The dispute led India and Pakistan to go to war in 1948 over annexation of Kashmir. A UN-mandated ceasefire split the area between the two nations, as India pledged to hold a plebiscite to decide the fate of Kashmiris in keeping with the principle of self-determination sanctified by the UN resolution. Unfortunately, India never made good on the pledge to Kashmiris and the divide leaves both India and Pakistan hostile to each other ever since. Thus, the danger of a nuclear war breaking out in the 21th century is entirely due to imperial machinations of the mid-19th century.

It is just one example of how the past shapes the present world. Knowledge of history is thus important for proper understanding of present day problems. It’s fair to say that history has not worked in Pakistan’s favor very much. Nevertheless, to be better able to work towards a brighter future, we must become cognizant of the good in our past. A nation’s history and that of its predecessors is an important source of pride for its people. Awareness of past achievements can motivate a people towards greater accomplishment in their time.

Pakistan, indeed, has something in its heritage worthy of high acclaim. Pakistan, along with the Subcontinent in general, is the first European colony to gain independence after World War 2, initiating the process of global decolonization that today results in a world of free nation-states. That alone imparts a high distinction on Pakistan. British India hosted the world’s biggest independence movement, of which the Pakistan Movement was a significant part. After the war, the British departure from the Subcontinent was a foregone conclusion. However, the Muslims of the Subcontinent obtaining their own sovereign nationhood, independent of Hindu-majority India, was an unlikely outcome, achieved, in the face of great opposition, without recourse to violence and with rational political discourse led by a professional advocate named Mohammad Ali Jinnah. The making of Pakistan is thus one of mankind’s great achievements in the annals of world history.

Since then, as a nation, another great accomplishment of Pakistan is the building of the Karakorum Highway. Built in the ‘60s and ‘70s with Chinese help, it is the world’s highest paved international road and runs through some of the world’s most lofty mountainous terrain, rendering the construction project an immensely difficult feat. As a result, the Karakorum Highway is often regarded as the Eighth Wonder of the world. Indeed, the construction of the Karakorum Highway is the crowning achievement in highway engineering.

Pakistan is also a nation of high prominence on the international stage, due in part to its military industrial strength. In this context it is the most powerful Islamic country. It is one of the few countries in the world which managed to build a nuclear arsenal as part of an impregnable defense system built to ward off a much bigger enemy, India, after the 1971 war dismembered Pakistan. Scientists in the remaining half of Pakistan built a nuclear weapons system with civil military collaboration unrivaled elsewhere in the Muslim world.

All of this shows that Pakistan is endowed with a huge potential. It is not fully fulfilled because equally enormous obstacles lie in the way of tapping all of it. These include problems of the past and present. Pakistan’s very birth was mired in tragedy, as millions died in the extreme communal violence of Partition, and in disappointment as it had far less territory than its founders envisioned, who thus called it a “moth-eaten state”. Then, right from the beginning, our new nation was beset by the Kashmir dispute and in its heel, the death of our founder, Quaid-e-Azam. A few decades later, catastrophe befell Pakistan as it was split in two, when East Pakistan, containing half the country’s population and much of its natural resources, broke away, rendering the original purpose of the country (to be a homeland for Indian Muslims) moot. Since then, Pakistan has been in the grip of institutional stagnation and in 2001, a whole new sort of geopolitical trouble for Pakistan started with the War on Terror, which led to the spread of civil war and terrorism in Pakistan. The resultant strain on the country made some regard Pakistan as a failed state. That is an unjustifiable characterization. The state is still intact and struggling towards greater achievements but the problems it is dealing with are overwhelming.

Pakistan’s troubles are due to a large and complex variety of factors. It seems that several different problems converged on Pakistan to make it such a troubled country, problems coming from both inside the country and outside. Events like the recent standoff with India are a serious concern and stand as a reminder of our longer-term situations. With the post-Pulwama military confrontation and the threat of nuclear war we just went through, we must realize that we cannot go on like this. In order to do something, we need answers. Solving the problems of our nation will not just require effort and unity. Pakistanis are already a hardworking people, but they are in want of guidance. In order for us to guide Pakistan through all our troubled circumstances, we need to analyze and comprehend the issues that we face and think up solutions to them. If we are to make our country better, we need knowledge and ideas.

That is what we commemorate on 23 March. One would think that Independence Day would be our more important holiday, as 14 August means the struggle for Pakistan was at last realized, but 23 March signifies the idea that materialized the struggle. We recognize the importance of the idea of Pakistan by making Pakistan Day as big a day as it is.

That is why we hold both Allama Sir Mohammad Iqbal and Muhammad Ali Jinnah in high regard as the two great founders of Pakistan. Jinnah was the statesman who led the political struggle for Pakistan. He did the work as a skilled politician who could mobilize his people and negotiate with the Indian National Congress and the British. Iqbal was a prolific poet and writer, called the greatest Urdu Poet of the twentieth century, who formulated the concept of Pakistan and persuaded his fellow Muslim Indians to believe in it. It was in Iqbal’s great mind that the need for a separate Muslim homeland was first recognized. A journey of a thousand miles begins with the decision to embark on that journey and an awareness of what course to take. The part of an endeavor that takes place inside the head is in itself often a significant task.

On 23 March and August 14, we celebrate the existence of Pakistan itself. We have the nation, but we have yet to make it into a truly prosperous one. Pakistan’s creation is only the beginning, but we have to do more to move forward. As a 21 year old Pakistani, I am very much a supporter of carrying on the struggle of our founding fathers. For this, I propose that just as 23 March, 1940, the All-India Muslim League adopted the idea of a separate Muslim homeland and launched the struggle to achieve it, we must spend every 23 March formulating and promoting ideas of what we can do for Pakistan. The best way to celebrate Pakistan Day is to engage in discussion about how to make Pakistan greater.

Every day, of course, should be a day for doing that. But 23 March can be a day of special focus on this subject. We can spend the whole year prior engaged in investigation and discourse in academic institutions, think tanks, government departments, civil society organizations, and just about anywhere, studying concepts and developing ideas and putting our work on display on 23 March. That day, we can also decide what we are going to be doing the rest of the year and simultaneously describe what we have achieved towards the goal post. The journey for Pakistan is still far from over. We can’t spend 23 March with just jubilation. We should also dedicate it to reflection and discourse and a determination to act.

That is actually how we get together and spend Pakistan Day. But I believe that we need a change in our thinking, an intellectual revolution, in fact. We need to broaden our horizon when it comes to awareness of our challenges. We must push more for academic pursuit of knowledge and ideas and be open-minded about where to find them. An analysis of Pakistan’s journey over the ages and where it is now, a discourse on where we can go from here, and a comprehensive investigation into the issues surrounding Pakistan are essential for us as a nation. Part of the reason why we have not managed to solve some of Pakistan’s endemic problems may be because we neither fully comprehend the issues, nor know where to search for ways to solve them. We do not possess tools to fathom our own capacity to meet our challenges. Gaining knowledge is a relatively easy task and so Pakistan, if it wants to make itself a better nation, should devote itself, before anything else, to learning.

I propose, therefore, that we create a national forum for research and idea development, an open forum where all can post for issue identification and analysis and for dissemination of ideas for issue resolution. In the age of information technology, a national forum, open to all, designed for developing ideas and plans of action for the country is not only feasible but also desirable. I have hereby decided to create a program for such studies. Feel free to contact us for ideas and inquiries. With your help, it may develop into Pakistan’s foremost research and advocacy think tank.

So what is it that we can do to solve Pakistan’s problems and turn it into a better country? The possibilities are endless. We just need to engage in thorough, scientific study of Pakistan’s circumstances and think outside the box in looking for answers to our problems. Awareness of history is necessary, as is proper awareness of the wider world and Pakistan’s place in it. Here is a basic overview of the sort of subjects relevant to our pursuit of knowledge for our nation.

First thing we have to know is that Pakistan does not exist in a vacuum. In our discourse on national issues, it appears that we have an unwitting tendency to regard it that way, to disregard the world as a whole. But the world is highly interconnected and individual nations tend to be heavily impacted by global or faraway developments and events. Pakistan’s history bears testament to this in its entirety. Pakistan was able to get independence because Britain was weakened by World War 2. The political system the new country adopted (because it could not go back to being a monarchy like in Mughal or Sikh times) was the same as those developed by the West, by our very imperial masters. Pakistan’s subsequent history was largely shaped by international affairs such as the Cold War and the War on Terror.

That last part we well know of. But strangely, even when many Pakistanis are dealing with foreign matters impacting their country, they seem to avoid actually trying to understand those events happening afar. For example, many Pakistanis resent the West because they think the foreign powers still have imperialist intentions. Thus, they do things like accuse Malala Yousafzai of being an imperial stooge because she came to reside in Britain. But they do not really study what is going on in the West, to familiarize themselves with those countries (thereby rejecting the desire for learning that Malala advocates).

This sort of thinking is common in the wider region around us. For example, some analysts believe that the protests that broke out across the Muslim world over the Innocence of Muslims film were so strong and widespread because the people involved in it, in addition to being uneducated and isolated, spent most of their lives living under repressive dictatorial governments and so assumed that any film made anywhere in the world must have had government backing or permission. They knew very little about faraway parts of the world and, crucially, they were unwilling to realize that they knew so little, so they made assumptions based upon what their own country was like. Millions came to a conclusion without being close to knowing enough and that, unfortunately, happens too often in Pakistan. Learning how to learn is a requirement for learning.

So Pakistanis need a global perspective and must become intimately familiar with happenings all around the world, past and present, in both countries rich and poor, big and small. We should study the outside world both to find out all that affects us and to uncover lessons that could help us understand our national affairs better. It’s time to expand our horizon. Perhaps our global ignorance, even as we remain experts on everything within our borders, is a big factor keeping us down.

Knowing about Pakistan in fact entails knowing quite a lot about the world, because the nation occupies a position of international importance. The importance of its geographic position becomes very obvious the moment you glance at it on a map. It lies right between West Asia and South Asia, and Central Asia lies to its north. It is both a regional power and right in the middle of major geographic regions. In fact, looking at the map, we can say it looks a lot like Pakistan is the main bridge between the western and eastern halves of the world. Such a strategic position provides Pakistan with a huge amount of opportunity. It is safe to assume that it is also an underlying cause of many of Pakistan’s problems.

Pakistan has relevance especially for the Islamic world. Besides being the most prominent Islamic country, and being a link between the main block of Islamic territories and the wide expanses of Asia to the east, it is the only nation in history that is created in the name of Islam. Pakistan thus has the potential to play a leading role in the Islamic world. Its hostile relations with India mean that Pakistan’s main regional outreach will have to be to its fellow Islamic nations west and north. However, instability, sociopolitical troubles, and unrest are very common in these countries, as well as within Pakistan itself, and are a defining feature of the Muslim world in the 21st century. With its importance, Pakistan has to take on the responsibility of tackling these challenges. For it to build a bright role for itself, it should play a leading role in guiding the world’s Muslims towards peace and progress.

The neighboring country of China also has very important relations with Pakistan. China is an emerging global superpower, currently the world’s second richest nation. China and Pakistan have very friendly relations due to having India as a common enemy. Currently, following up on the construction of the Karakorum Highway, both nations are constructing the China-Pakistan Economic Corridor (CPEC). One of the world’s most significant trade projects, it is being planned as China’s main route to Africa and the Middle East. Pakistan is thus a major partner in China’s emergence on the world stage and CPEC is slated to be a game-changer for Pakistan.

It is therefore very important to study China and what its rise means for the world. We also have to plan our economic integration and partnership with China wisely. Xi Jingping’s Belt and Road Initiative, which CPEC is part of, is a global economic revolution in the making. The future of Pakistan, and that of the world as well, will be largely shaped by China’s growth. It is a promising future but one we have to proceed towards carefully, as we have no idea where it could lead us. It begins now, as the steps taken today will decide tomorrow.

The world’s future is likely to be decided by China and other eastern countries. But the world’s past and present has been largely decided by the West. Western countries like the United States continue to play a leading role in the world and will for the foreseeable future. They also hang like a specter over Pakistan’s existence. The West is responsible for Pakistan ever coming into being, for otherwise the Mughal Empire would still exist in its place. Through its dominance and influence, the West is in fact responsible for almost every single way the world is today. It has played a fundamental role in the forging of the modern world.

That role has also been hugely multi-faceted. It has brought enormous good and inflicted great harm. The only way we can summarize modern Western civilization’s impact is that it is enormously complex. Take as an example the legacy of slavery for Western countries like America. It is usually regarded as a dark stain on that nation’s history as slavery was practiced on such a major scale and resulted in entrenched and chronic racism. But when you put it in the bigger perspective, many societies throughout history practiced slavery. It was a common and mostly unabated practice of civilization. Then Britain, the world’s biggest power, banned slavery and actually used its navy to block the Atlantic slave trade. Shortly afterwards, the United States fought the only war in world history to end slavery. Western anti-slavery efforts spread worldwide and it is now because of Western countries that slavery all over the world has been restricted to being an underground activity. They brought us the worst of slavery and the end of slavery.

The West and its shaping of modern history is thus a very complicated subject but also one that we have to comprehend. Understanding the West means understanding the world. Even China can be largely thought of as a Western product now. For 4,000 years, it was one imperial dynasty after another. That came to an end in 1911 when China got a republican government inspired by George Washington’s ideals. Then, in 1949, it got a communist government inspired by Karl Marx’s ideas. China later became what it is now due to Deng Xiaoping’s adoption of capitalist ideas, in which we can say he was inspired by Adam Smith. Here in Pakistan, Western influence is pervasive in our society, to which the fact that this article is written in English, not Urdu, is testament.

Pakistan has also had frosty relations with Western countries. It is not alone. Virtually every non-white society in the world has had frosty relations with the West at some time or another. But a lot more has to be done on our part than just holding up banners saying “Hang Raymond Davis” or something like that. We also got to get to know the West, to start to understand this immense, globe-transforming phenomenon that is Western Civilization.

Knowing history, of course, is generally important in understanding the world. But it also may be worth our while to peer far back into history. Doing so for the land where Pakistan lies, we find another great achievement in Pakistan’s heritage, which is that it is one of the world’s earliest seats of civilization, the Indus Valley civilization, or Harappa. The Harappans at their peak may have comprised one-fourths of the world population and their developments include urban planning, water supply systems, and elaborate drainage. If we study these accomplishments of theirs, it could inspire us with useful tips for today.

The Indus Valley civilization was centered on the Indus Basin, which remains the ecological foundation of our nation-state today. It serves as the reminder that the natural world is what makes civilization and humanity possible. Pakistan’s natural environment thus has to be included as an integral part of our national outlook. As we develop our nation, we must keep it in mind and learn to treat it responsibly.

Preventing environmental degradation therefore must become our top national priority. Pakistan’s existence comes at a time when human civilization is growing at a tremendous rate, fundamentally altering the balance of nature, which will in turn affect human societies everywhere. Most analysts say that Pakistan will be one of the world’s most vulnerable countries to environmental changes. Thus, Pakistan now has a whole new set of severe problems it will carry into the future. Most of the problems keeping our nation down are of the past, such as the Kashmir dispute, which is rooted in old struggles which the rest of the world has mostly moved beyond. But now, even if Pakistan overcomes all such problems, environmental change such as overuse of water, the shifting of the monsoon, and the shrinking of the northern glaciers will be a whole new challenge for the nation, impeding its development.

It will most likely even threaten Pakistan’s existence. Our nation thus has a very uncertain future. It is the most important thing for us therefore to study environmental changes and find out what can be done about them. Changes in the Indus River are believed to be responsible for the collapse of the Indus Valley civilization. We should study this event as it may give us insight into Pakistan’s prospects now. But all in all, understanding the entire field of human-caused changes to the natural world will be the biggest challenge in our intellectual endeavors.

This will hinge upon science. Science, the study of the material world around us, is in fact very important for the world. We should not neglect it as we endeavor to understand Pakistan’s challenges in the world. Scientific literacy will be enormously useful to us and will be necessary for making Pakistan a great country.
A wide variety of fields will have to be mastered if we are to strive to serve Pakistan with knowledge. There are social, economic, political, cultural, environmental, and other aspects, all interconnected, of the issues surrounding Pakistan. A multi-disciplinary approach is needed. Critical thinking skills are needed. Even when we learn all the facts, we must decipher the meaning behind them. There is much we will have to learn, to analyze. That includes big questions that will be challenging to answer.

Take, for example, the issue at the of Pakistan’s troubles. Newly-formed Pakistan and India fought a limited war in Kashmir in 1947 and the United Nations, also newly-formed, decided to intervene to bring an end to the conflict. It oversaw a ceasefire and got India to agree to a plebiscite in the part of Kashmir it occupied, which came to nothing. At the time, it looked like what the UN was doing was good, bringing peace, but on the long term, it condemned the region to a perpetual threat of war.

That is an example of the dilemmas inherent in international relations and the pursuit of peace-making. The UN is an organization founded on the goal of preventing war. It decided to stop a very small-scale war in the Himalayas but ended up moving the problem to the future and making it worse. We have had two wars, far more destructive, since then, seven decades of tense relationship, and we are now at the risk of nuclear war, a horrifying possibility. All of this could have been averted if Pakistan and India were left to fight it to the finish in 1948. So why all this?

It is just one of the many issues requiring a world perspective. The UN was founded due to World War 2, a war caused by German expansion in Europe. That expansion was first met with British appeasement. Then, when it got too far, Britain and France went to war with Germany, but it was in a way too late now. Germany would have been easier to defeat if they went to war before it took over Czechoslovakia and maybe carnage as tremendous as what WW2 turned out to be would have been averted. So one would expect the UN to absorb this lesson and consider that it sometimes is counterproductive to avoid the fighting of a war at the first chance you get. To investigate events like the Kashmir ceasefire which affect Pakistan, we need to look at these wider processes in the world and events in other countries.

There is a memorial in Burma, dedicated to the soldiers who fought in the war there, many of whom would later be Pakistani citizens, which says “All those who come here, let them hear us say- For your tomorrow, we gave our today”. That often holds true of war. It seems, also, that some attempts at peace-making have been a case of “For our today, we gave your tomorrow”.

This month’s war scare between India and Pakistan is a result of this. It is quite a problematic and controversial issue, certainly. War and peace is generally a very complicated and precarious subject but getting a grasp of it is a must for being able to tackle some of the world’s biggest and most fundamental problems, including of Pakistan. How peacemakers brought us the hostile relations with India that have been Pakistan’s longest plague and what could have been done instead is just one of many complex issues we need to unravel.

There is so much we will have to be exploring. Having gone through this yet one more nuclear war crisis just before Pakistan Day, we need to wake up as a nation and resolve to finally tackle Pakistan’s challenges. We, of course, do call for that each Pakistan Day. This Pakistan Day we are spending discussing the resolutions we should make and that we must push for a bright future for Pakistan. But how are we to be able to do that if we are not learned as a nation? To serve Pakistan, we need to gain knowledge before anything else. Pakistan’s problems may be unresolved so much because we lack a complete understanding of them and of the world around us. It is time to change that and embark on a voyage of discovery.

There is a long way to go for that because lack of intellectual productivity is another one of Pakistan’s problems. The country’s education sector is underdeveloped, with poor-quality schooling for much of the population and high levels of illiteracy. Scholarly activity in the country is generally of modest levels. What Pakistan needs first and foremost is the promotion of a culture of knowledge. Learning paves the road to prosperity. We don’t just have to do it within our borders. Pakistanis can and do go abroad to study, such as Dr. Abdul Salam, a Pakistani scientist who worked in London and won the 1979 Nobel Prize in Physics. Nowadays, knowledge economies are considered the most promising form of economy, so if Pakistan is to rise as a big power in the world, it must do more to pursue knowledge, starting with knowledge of the challenges it faces.

79 years ago, our forebears adopted the idea of an independent homeland for the Muslims of South Asia and made the resolution to bring our great nation, Pakistan, into the world. On this anniversary of the landmark event, let us adopt the resolution to take on all of Pakistan’s challenges by developing the ideas needed for forging Pakistan’s path in the world so that it can become all that it is capable of becoming.

Shahzeb Khan is an Islamabad-based columnist, environment activist, and co-founder of Pakistan’s People-Led Disaster Management (PPLDM).

FORENSICE VALUE OF NEW ZEALAND MOSQUE MASSACRE VIDEO

If it can happen in New Zealand, it can happen anywhere. The first thing I heard when I woke up on the morning of 15 March, the Ides of March so ominously referenced in the Shakespearian play about Julius Caesar, was that 49 people were killed in a mosque shooting in New Zealand.
In New Zealand?!?

It sounded so unbelievable that at first I thought these were just muddled first reports. But it turned out, that is exactly what happened.

A 28 year old Australian man reportedly massacred worshippers in two mosques in Christchurch, New Zealand, and live streamed the gory massacre on Facebook. Instead of repeating his name so often in news and creating a terrible situation for those who share the same name, where ever they may be, we should call the man “brute terrorist.” Though the terrorist act committed in New Zealand is not new, the violence perpetrated by the brute terrorist was novel in one way; he live streamed the massacre of individuals as they were praying. His video went viral, not because humanity has suddenly become full of sadists who entertain themselves with such videos, but because the video is associated with breaking news and a shocking atrocity.

The video has subsequently become the subject of news. It keeps getting removed from social media but keeps making a stubborn come back because somebody uploads it somewhere and there are not enough people at the back end to cleanse the system so quickly, experts tell us on media.

While the video should definitely not roam free on social media and be watched by all and sundry including children, the video is valuable from the point of view of risk reduction and terrorism management. It should be circulated to police academies all over the world where professionals should use it to assess what possible acts victims could have performed to safeguard their lives when the gun man suddenly appeared and started shooting at them. A plan of action should be designed, with input from global law enforcement networked for the purpose. Such plan should be made available to common folks in urban areas to learn what to do in such a situation to minimize loss of life. Such heinous acts have taken place in the past, and are likely to take place anywhere in the world in future as well. While states must act to minimize the failure of intelligence and produce better law enforcement, acts of urban terror such as the New Zealand mosque massacre can not be prevented altogether. But knowledge of what people can do to safeguard themselves during such atrocities can be disseminated to all through social media. Television channels all over the world can be made to disseminate the knowledge in local languages.

An international network of police officers can and should use the brutal terrorist’s video and use it to develop and disseminate skills that that can be utilized by potential victims of similar acts of terrorism – which is really the global urban community.

From the perspective of DRR, the brute terrorist has actually done the law enforcement a favor by recording his act in all its forensic details.

Waking Pakistan up to the World’s Need to Safeguard the Natural Environment

Pakistan is one of the world’s most vulnerable countries to human-induced environmental change and ecological degradation. It is an enormous national issue, a severe threat to our long-term future, in fact, and yet, we Pakistanis don’t give the matter enough attention. Our level of concern is dangerously low. Instead, issues in politics, the economy, international relations, etc., are the subject of daily discourse. Environmental issues lurk in the shadow of other pressing matters, matters essentially pertaining more directly to human affairs, which our country’s people, media, and leaders find worthy of attention.

The reality, though, is that human beings, societies, and all related issues exist in the shadow of the natural world. Nature is the basis of our existence. It provides us everything and holds us firmly in its grasp. People and all that they have created are utterly diminutive compared to nature and its dynamic processes, which you can plainly see by how large the Earth is. Humanity has come to where we are now, to this point where we are such powerful agents on Earth, only because nature enabled us to. The thing is, we are now changing nature, altering the very face of the planet. That does not mean that we have power over the natural world now. Because nature has the final say in the end, the consequences of our actions for us will be severe.

What are those consequences for this corner of the world known as Pakistan? Our people are already suffering in many ways from environmental problems caused by human activities both within and outside of the nation. Our main concern lies in where we are heading. We aren’t exactly sure yet what the future holds in store but, by both studying the science and looking at present trends, we have a good enough indication to be hugely alarmed. Environmental degradation is progressively getting worse and worse with no end in sight, bringing graver disaster risks and a general decline in the quality of life. It could ultimately be catastrophic for the world.

One critical area of concern is water. Pakistan is a water-stressed country. Its water supplies are deteriorating. Pakistan is highly vulnerable to any changes therein because it is heavily dependent on its natural resources and is essentially a desert supplied with water from concentrated sources like the Indus and the monsoon. There is a lot of water but it is not coming into the nation evenly. Our country is slated to face a severe water crisis caused by pollution and disruptions to the water supply from overuse and environmental changes. As time inexorably proceeds, the crisis will likely just get worse and worse and the people of Pakistan will suffer intensely. In fact, a sort of indefinitely prolonged drought seems to be on the horizon.

Much of the problem is due to overpopulation. Like most developing countries, Pakistan’s population growth is skyrocketing with no end in sight and the extra people have to use up natural resources to survive. The average Pakistani family produces lots of children and it is not because there are abundant resources for them. Instead, it seems that people are having many children to compensate for their lack of prosperity. That must be the explanation for the current global situation in which the rich have few children and the poor many. Pakistan’s population growth cannot be sustained forever and if it continues, the nation’s resource base will be depleted with catastrophic results for its burgeoning populace.

Global climate change adds to our woes. It is caused by many basic human activities worldwide, especially the burning of fossil fuels for energy, and it is unlikely the world will stop such activities until fossil fuels are used up. This will completely alter the face of the planet and turn our world into a hotter one and we are just beginning to feel the effects. Energy from the Sun is the driver behind most of what is happening on Earth and the balance between the energy entering and leaving the planet plays a central role in determining the state of our world. All the carbon stored inside Earth in organic form over eons of time is being released by us within the timescale of a few centuries, which will radically change that balance. It will be disastrous for life on Earth and humanity won’t be easily able to adapt.

But there is much more than what we are directly doing to watch out for. It turns out that if we disturb the Earth, we may just prompt it into adopting a new behavior of its own and it could all just go down from there. There is a possibility, scientists say, of a runaway greenhouse effect in the future caused by anthropogenic global warming. The situation basically is that by warming the Earth, we are making nature do the same. The main way is that when the climate warms, greenhouse gases such as methane and carbon dioxide are released from melting permafrost, from warming oceans, and from boreal soil where warmer temperatures allow microbes to decompose the organic matter stored underground over hundreds of years. These gases, which could potentially be of a quantity comparable to those released from fossil fuels, will themselves contribute to the warming of the climate, resulting in the release of more gases, warming the climate more, and on and on.

So if global warming continues, the process could eventually reach “runaway” point in which the warming is self-sustaining, without human influence, and proceeds unstoppably. That will definitely not be a good situation for the world. We have no idea, under this scenario, how much the world will warm before it stops and when it will happen but it is a fair chance that runaway global warming will ultimately lead to global cataclysm which, if not wiping out the human race, will wipe out civilization and billions of people.

These sound like some rather hefty doom and gloom scenarios. But we just need to have a healthy respect for how the natural world is a dynamical and complicated structure of its own and comprehend how it works. We must also be aware of how big human civilization has become, how much it is consuming and how much it is filling the Earth, a planet which, despite its immensity, is also finite. Finally, we must recognize that civilization is growing rapidly and the world is changing immensely in our modern era and it is all accelerating steeply. We are far from certain where the world will be going from here. But we are certain that the future is bleak in many ways and we live under the reasonable chance of catastrophic changes. If bad things might happen, we have to act as though they will. Isn’t what disaster risk management is all about? What is beyond a doubt is that the planet is being changed by people and as a result, its hospitability will be compromised.

In short, the very survival of Pakistan and its people, not to mention the world, is in jeopardy. Yet, what is it that we Pakistanis care about? All we talk about on a daily basis are things like Nawaz Sharif’s court cases, some new Islamist leader rising to the spotlight, new infrastructure projects with China, fear of resurgent Western imperialism, how the stock market is doing, and such. Environmental issues do not weigh much on the minds of even the educated among us. Small things like arrests of party leaders and political scandals trigger more consternation among the masses than the possibility of an apocalyptic future for their grandchildren.

Why?

Is it because we take the planet for granted? We are not used to what we are facing now. For most of human history, until very recently, people had little influence on the natural environment. It changed little and when it did, we usually had nothing to do with it, so we had nothing to do about it except adapt. Also, environmental degradation is neither very visible nor discernible to us. We cannot easily observe for ourselves the processes that go on in nature and the mechanisms by which we are affecting it. Lastly, our apathy is because we are living for now. We have a tendency to base our actions at present on what benefits us at present. Every action of ours that is harmful to the environment brings immediate satiation to us, while most environmental problems manifest in the long term and threats like total desertification and spiraling climate warming are in the dim future. It is well-documented that the more immediate a concern is, the more responsive people are to it.

That is not entirely the case. One societal issue that is of long-term relevance and is accorded high level of importance is education. Educating children leads to a bright future. But it is materially a burden while it is happening, which is why so many poor Pakistanis keep their children out of school and in child labor. The livelihood comes in quick. There is a massive drive in Pakistan to overcome such obstacles and provide sufficient education to all children. Education is society’s exercise in focusing on the future.

It is also the key to making the masses focus on their environmental future, to make them responsive to the issues concerning the planet.

Society shapes its people in their formative stage of life through schooling. It is the best medium for dissemination of ideas and knowledge to all. While older people may be more irresponsive to environmental issues, children and youth are ready to learn new things and adapt to the changing world they will live in. We can easily inculcate concern for the environment in students. Bringing environmental consciousness into the classroom will be enormously helpful because the future of our planet largely depends on future generations.

We also have to reach out to current generations, as they, too, play a big part. The future is heavily determined by what people do now, so awareness must be spread among the masses. At the very least, they will be motivated to provide education for their children in order to make them environmentally aware. Most people will readily have the motivation inside them to save the environment. They just need to be woken up.

Academic focus on the environment will inculcate professionals and leaders in environmental protection, but much more is needed. Educating all people is crucial for protecting the environment because the changes being made to it come from the activities of the human population as a whole, each and every person. When they become aware of it, they can get to change their behavior and do what is needed for a healthy planet. As we enlighten the people of Pakistan, focus must remain on those growing up, for in order to ensure a better planet for our children, we must leave behind better children for the planet. Environmental education is Earth’s best hope.

So as it strives to make its citizens learn, Pakistan must emphasize environmental studies in its curricula, as well as in its mass media, including libraries, and awareness-raising campaigns. This is the only way ordinary people can become aware. They cannot see the future and what it brings. They cannot personally observe underlying processes occurring in the natural environment. Even when they feel the impact of environmental harm, it is usually not apparent to them where it is coming from.

We therefore see poor Pakistanis respond to problems like water shortages by protesting against the authorities. They can only think thus far. If they are comprehensively informed of the environmental changes affecting them, they will understand their own situation and their long-term prospects and will be better able to decide on the right course of action. They have to expand their horizon to beyond what they observe up close in their lives, a vital trait in today’s world. This is why education is so important. Education enables people to know the meaning behind what they see, to know what they do not see, and to know what they should expect to see.

Every nation must always keep its future in mind. To ensure Pakistan’s survival, environmental literacy must be made an integral part of its mass education sector. The first step is alerting people to the fact that the issues exist. The phase after that is for them to learn all about the issues. That will be no small undertaking. As we will learn in my next article, when it comes to the environment, to the interactions between people and nature, there is an enormous amount to learn. It is perhaps another obstacle to our gaining awareness of this most crucial subject of our times but, nonetheless, an obstacle we will overcome.

Fulfilling the Vital Need for National Disaster Awareness

Today is the 13th anniversary of a major tragedy. On October 8, 2005, a massive earthquake struck Pakistan’s northern areas and led to tens of thousands of deaths. The survivors were left with lives turned upside-down in a region that was completely devastated. It was one of the biggest disasters in Pakistan’s history. Even after more than a decade, its after-effects still reverberate.
In 2015, during the tenth anniversary of the catastrophe known as the Kashmir earthquake, the government of Pakistan formally declared October 8 a day set aside for commemoration and advocacy, a day given the name National Disaster Awareness Day. The country’s need for awareness of disaster risk was chosen to be the theme of the earthquake’s anniversary and that is fitting. It is because after the earthquake happened, providing rescue and relief to the victims was an enormous challenge, allowing high death rate and so much suffering to occur. But much of this would have been averted if Pakistan was prepared for this kind of earthquake. It would have been easy to take measures keeping people safe, such as building seismic-resistant buildings and people knowing what to do in an earthquake.
One problem is that knowledge was a precious rare resource in the area that was struck by the quake. Few people there had access to adequate education. Another problem was that nobody had any idea such an earthquake would occur. Earthquakes occur because of the activity of fault lines in the Earth’s crust. It is a hidden world too vast to easily encompass in our understanding. The 2005 Kashmir earthquake jolted Pakistan into awareness of the need to protect the people against disasters of all kinds and made disaster management a top national priority. Of all the lessons that the earthquake in Kashmir offered the nation as a compensation for the harm it wreaked, the greatest was the need for Pakistan to know just what are the dangers that the people of the nation face and to find out all that there is to find out about any crisis and any calamity that could occur.
Pakistan’s People-Led Disaster Management thus observes National Disaster Awareness Day by publishing this article that calls our attention to our need for awareness of all disaster risks and how to gain that awareness. It is the vital first step in ensuring the safety of the people of Pakistan from the crises that threaten them.
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It is vital to assess what disaster risk exists, what could possibly happen, and how to mitigate it and safeguard those who are at risk. As such, the gaining of knowledge is the first step in disaster risk reduction. It is often also in itself a major challenge to achieve.

The first thing to know about disaster management, about what should be done, is that it is urgent. A disaster can happen any moment now- in fact, as I sit here writing this, I never know what I will hear if I turn on the news. So, if there is a need for a push in DRR in Pakistan, we better get off our seats and start right now. There is a great deal that we have to learn and in our quest for a safer Pakistan, we need to devote much of our effort gaining knowledge.

From here on, we will essentially be learning about learning. We are going to find out what is lacking in the knowledge required to implement disaster risk reduction policies in Pakistan and how to gain knowledge. For the purpose of this article, only disaster risk awareness is going to be dealt with, knowing all about the dangers that exist. We will not deal directly with knowing what can be done about the dangers. Knowing the dangers is needed before knowing what can be done, which in turn is needed for taking action.

Before we proceed, we need to know one thing. Awareness of disaster risk means assessing the possibilities of what could happen. Risk is by definition simply the probability of something bad happening. We can not be certain about what will happen, but we can measure the chances. Disaster risk awareness ought to be within our means. So here we go.

The one big reason Pakistan is so deficit in disaster risk awareness is that it lags far behind in education and research. There are many reasons why this is so. The main reason is the overall level of Pakistan’s development. Our country is not among the developed world.

Nevertheless, Pakistan is semi-industrialized and has the 24th largest economy in the world. Its economy is growing rapidly and the country is classified as an emerging nation. Hopefully, we will take advantage of the opportunities lying ahead and use them for the pursuit of gaining knowledge and making ourselves safer. Meantime, Pakistan is still very affluent and powerful for a nation with such low levels of knowledge of important matters. There must be other factors keeping our performance down, such as corruption and ineptness in the country’s public institutions, political problems, and traditional mindsets in Pakistani society accepting disasters as acts of God. Whatever the reasons, disaster risk thus is not studied very well in Pakistan by enough people who can then lead the way in DRR for the nation.

First, there is the state of knowledge in general within the nation. The citizens and relevant authorities of the country are lacking in the adequate expertise and opportunities to learn, making them ignorant of the knowledge that other people have access to. Second, the amount of information available on disaster risk in Pakistan is inadequate. Much knowledge in that regard does not exist at all.

I can tell from my own personal experience how hard it is to research disaster risk in Pakistan. Books are not as abundant and easily available in Pakistan as in the United States of America and my ability to do research on disaster risk topics through this venue has been limited. The content of Pakistani libraries and bookstores is mostly politics, economics, and social affairs and there is little on science, which comprises most of hazard risk awareness. There is an abundance of books mostly in official institutions, which limits their availability to ordinary Pakistanis. Books have little relevance, though, in the digital age because we can get all the knowledge we ever need from the internet. The Internet makes unlimited knowledge available for everybody with electricity and Wi Fi access. Here, too, specialized knowledge is often bought and sold.

The Internet suits all my needs. But when I look up information pertaining to Pakistan’s disaster risk, I then come across the stumbling blocks. Such information I find elusive, limited, bewildering, and contradictory and likely some information is incorrect or outdated. The official websites of disaster management authorities in Pakistan do not exactly brim with detailed information. Wikipedia content on disaster risk in Pakistan is limited. Wikipedia articles about Pakistan are often not updated properly. Whether inside Pakistan or outside, the literature on our nation’s disaster risk is sorely lacking.

So we need to engage in a voyage of discovery regarding Pakistan’s disaster risk. There is so much that we have to find out, so much that we have to figure out. When we do this, we will then be able to go far. Indeed, humanity as a species occupies supreme position in the world primarily because of our very high brainpower – how much we are able to know. In addition to its importance, knowledge is unique as a resource because it is limitless in the ease with which it can spread. One need not build bridges and spread road networks to spread knowledge. Knowledge  should be very easy to gain for seekers and its spread, as it is, is easy.

Thus, for example, if you want to make a million families safe from earthquakes, you build for them one million earthquake-resistant buildings. But if you want to know how to build such buildings, your experimentation requires building only a few buildings and testing them. Then, you can share the information you gained with other people much more easily than if you created tangible things and handed them out. Nevertheless, endeavors in research and discovery have often required great amounts of money and resources. We should look at the relationship between knowledge and the resources needed for it and we should try to find ways for those with limited means to have access to learning.

There are two kinds of knowledge, information and comprehension. Looking at it from an individual level, information is the knowledge you directly gather from examining the outside world. It is what your senses tell you. Gaining information is known as observation. Comprehension is what you do inside your head. It comes when you put the information you have together, when you think it over and come to conclusions, which is known as analysis. Both are equally important when it comes to awareness of the disaster risk around us.

The field of research has its rules and methods. To make conclusions or ascertain possibilities, the scientific method is the guideline commonly followed. The first step in it is observation. Based upon what you find, the next step is to make an induction. This is when you make a hypothesis, a guess about something, based upon what your observations suggest. Once you have the hypothesis, which can be strengthened by further inductions, you have to test it by looking for something that disproves it, which is known as deduction. If a deduction occurs, the hypothesis may be discarded or it may be modified. A hypothesis that is well-supported becomes a theory, which is an inference we can rely upon. In selecting between different hypotheses, the principle of parsimony is necessary. It states that the simplest and most direct explanation is the best one. We may not know with certainty that the hypothesis parsimony favors is true, but it still is the most likely because the circumstances that make it possible are the simplest. The standard criterion for judging the validity of a theory or a hypothesis is its predictive power.

Disaster risk research, of course, is the kind of science in which the stakes are very high. It is science for safety of the masses and so very careful standards will have to be applied to it. Keep in mind the six Italian seismologists who were arrested and given six-year prison sentences because they failed to predict an earthquake that hit the town of L’Aquila in 2009, killing 308 people. Since the Catholic inquisitions passed away, scientists normally do not have to live under fear of being punished for the work they do. But some scientific inquiry is less innocent and blissful than others. When people’s lives are at stake, you will have to do your utmost to get it right.

In our field, researching disaster risk essentially boils down to determining the probability of something happening. Disasters are events that could happen. We need to be aware which disasters could happen, how they could happen, and what effects they could have. Disaster risk awareness thus is a field that consists entirely of predicting future events.

That is the crux of the matter. In the parlance of scientific inquiry, predictive power refers to predicting what one will find in the future by observation. Predictive power takes on a special new significance in disaster risk awareness. We do not have to worry at all about being able to observe a disaster that happens, for a disaster, by definition, impacts people and thus people will clearly know about it very well. What we have to worry about is if we are able to foresee it coming, and the criterion to do that is pretty much the same as striving to hypothesize about an unknown. We have to clearly distinguish the two concepts of inferring how things are in the present and predicting what will happen in the future.

We can say there are two basic ways of predicting bad things happening in the future. One is to observe and analyze how circumstances are at present, and infer if they could lead to something bad happening, and the other is to look back to see if bad things already happened in the past. We can call the former approach science and the latter history. It can be said that our historical approach to disaster risk awareness is observation, looking at the disasters that already occurred, while our scientific approach is analysis, looking at present conditions and putting two and two together to asses what disasters they may lead to.

History is pretty much the easy way. Having it happen already is how people are commonly aware of what danger they face. Lessons from the past become facts of life in the world. It is how societies mostly find out about their disaster risk, especially since most disasters have been going on far back in time and form a pattern.

But it is a terrible idea to rely on that only or primarily. Firstly, there are always going to occur n the future new kinds of disasters or disasters with novel characteristics. Second, disasters are terrible and we do not want them to happen at all. One disaster is one too many and while its occurrence may provide us with valuable lessons, one would rather not have to learn it that way at all. One should instead be pre-cognizant of the possibility of any kind of disaster, before the first of its kind happens. Therefore, we cannot resign ourselves solely to using past disasters as a guide for preparing for all future possibilities, because that means sitting around and waiting for disasters to happen so we can learn from them.

Learning from them, from what has already passed, whether disaster or hazard event, is still absolutely vital, or course. If there are past events that serve as examples of disaster risk, we need to direct our attention to their study first because that is the easiest and most reliable way of studying disaster risk. The record of disasters or hazardous events that already happened typically serve as a comprehensive template for further risk.

A disaster event ought to be carefully studied and analyzed, so that not only people look back and think of what could have been done better but of what can be done better later. You can study the hazard itself. You can study the effect it had. You can study how people responded to it. You can study how unrelated circumstances interacted with the crisis and shaped it. You realize that such things could happen again, and you become more cognizant of the risks to be faced in the future. We should not assume that a certain disaster will be repeated in an exact way again. The world rarely works that way. Instead, we assume features of one disaster may be shared by future disasters. It is in fact best to look at at all the disasters that have occurred and put them together to create a comprehensive assessment of risk.

So any disaster event has to be scrutinized thoroughly. When a disaster has occurred in the present, once we are done devoting all effort to responding to it, we need to study it, as fresh events are the easiest to learn about. We need to completely catalog the activity that was conducted in response to the disaster. We need to interview the survivors to learn how they were affected and what they saw. We need to do field surveys and investigations of the disaster zone to learn as much as we can about the event. Before that, because it is an event unfolding before our eyes, while responding to a disaster, people should keep their eyes open and make sure to take note of all that is going on.

If a disaster event happened in the past, studying it becomes more difficult, the more so the farther back in time it happened. We need to rush to study all such events as soon as possible. Living witnesses, if there are any, have to be interviewed and traces of the past disasters must be thoroughly examined. Records of the disasters must be analyzed and put together in an integrated assessment.

Determining the disaster risk in a certain nation is best done by studying the disaster events that have occurred within the current boundaries of the nation, but it is also important to encompass the entire world in one’s historical research. Studying every disaster event that has ever occurred everywhere provides us with a highly rich plethora of knowledge and disasters in other parts of the world are relevant to your nation because events work similarly, abiding by the same principles, wherever they occur.

As mentioned, while in most cases of risk, we already have a history of either tragedy or close calls to draw upon, so we know what to expect and what to do, it does not hold true for all disasters that are possible. And really, the fact that hardly any event that will occur in the future in a certain setting will be an exact repeat of an event that has occurred before makes the past limited in what it is able to teach us. We cannot just wait for bad things to occur so that we can then become cognizant of the danger and so be better prepared next time. We need to keep our antennas out for all possibilities so we can be prepared in the first place.

We need to maintain this approach to risk particularly because the world is not static. It is changing all the time and right now, it is changing a lot. Just take one look around. Change is the tempo of the world now, change that is accelerating as it happens. The primary change is the growth of the world’s population. Around five hundred million people were around five hundred years ago. By 1800, it was one billion. By 1900, it was two billion. Now, a billion people are added to the world’s stock every decade. This means that the number of potential victims of disaster, the exposure, is skyrocketing. Alongside this comes great change in the world around these people, including change in the hazards that threaten them and their vulnerability and capacity to cope.

As a result, an experience-based approach to disaster risk is becoming more and more irrelevant. It is vitally important in the modern world to be forewarned of new risks, of new kinds of disasters that could occur, of new situations. That really should not be impossible, because after all, pushing back the limits on the barriers to human knowledge is part of the modern world.

Yet, it seems that people often feel content to resign themselves to experience. There are several examples from politics to take note of. One concerning the hazard of terrorism will be recounted here. US President Donald Trump received a lot of flak for his implementation at the beginning of his administration of the travel ban on seven Muslim countries and the ban on Syrian refugees entering the country. One of the criticisms of his policy made by journalists was that no terror plot in the US was ever conducted by anybody from Syria.

Of course that is so. Nobody from Syria ever attacked the United States. The implication then is that we should not bother ourselves with the danger of that happening unless such an incident actually does.

Let us not fall for the argument from fallacy (metafallacy) here. Donald Trump’s estimation of the terror threat from Syrian refugees may well be overblown, but I do recognize that those who fiercely oppose him cannot use everything they have in tearing him down without checking to see if it has negative consequences. As a disaster management practitioner, I wish to warn everybody of how wrong it is to conduct the political fight against the Don at the expense of public safety.

Back in late summer, 2017, Trump tweeted about Irma and the other big hurricanes when they were incoming in the US, using colorful hyperbole to describe their power. Some journalists complained the POTUS was exploiting the crises and “bragging about the size of his hurricane”. Actually, when a crisis is underway, it is a sensible thing to bring home to everybody how serious the crisis is. Donald’s Twitter account was just playing its part. There were people in danger. If they read the journalist’s article criticizing Trump’s approach , they could have been swayed into ignoring Trump’s warnings, and get into danger.

Hurricanes aside, those who criticize Trump’s anti-terror policies, on the basis of him preparing for threats that never happened before, are manifesting a dangerous mindset. There is a first time for everything and people have got to be ready for anything. There is plenty I disagree with Trump, including as a DRR person. I, however, do not disagree with the basic principle of preparedness for first-time possibilities. It is sensible.

The US has a whole agency that engages in this sort of thing, the CIA. Intelligence agencies can serve as a good role model for disaster risk awareness. They can even get involved. We should try it with ISI. Just as the Pakistani military responds to disasters so well, ISI should expand capacity to foresee them. Intelligence, putting information together, is required to foresee something. If you are only aware of the possibility of something happening because it has already happened, then that is just memory (so we have completed the two paradigms of human knowledge. They are observation/ information/memory and analysis/comprehension/intelligence).

Looking at an example of how memory won’t keep you entirely safe, America’s response to 9-11 was the second best thing. Thousands died and the country took steps to ensure “never again”. “Never in the first place” would have been the best thing. But of course, nobody flew planes into buildings before, so America just was not careful about preventing what became 9-11. This negligence was averted way back in 1910 when airplanes were just invented. Tsarist Russia became concerned that any of the insurgents plaguing the empire could fly the new vehicles into buildings. Now that is called thinking ahead.

The mourners of 9-11 say “never forget” but they must learn to say also “always foresee”. For example, airline security ordered all passengers to remove their shoes before going through the scanner after a failed attempt at a shoe bombing on a plane (a near-miss of a disaster), but it would have been better if they had thought up beforehand that shoes might be used as carriers for explosives. What intelligence analysts should have done was put themselves in the shoes of the dangerous people out there and try to guess what possibilities the latter could avail. Anti-terrorism agencies need to stay one step ahead of the terrorists, instead of trailing in the aftermath of carnage.

Similarly, we need to stay one step ahead of all disaster risks. It is all about the right techniques. We must seek the ways to find out about any danger that exists before it manifests itself. It is also about inquisitiveness. We may never know where to look for signs of a future calamity, so we must look everywhere. We must know as much about the world as possible to find dangers we never before knew were possible. If we do not have prior manifestations of danger to draw upon, finding the right techniques of analysis in order to create a prediction is what we have to rely upon.

That is our science in disaster risk awareness. It is almost always going to be a more difficult task than the historical approach. Analysis is a skill and takes effort to develop. That is the time to bring out everything we have in the science kit and set ourselves to work, (hopefully without fear of a manslaughter conviction).

Here, we return to the concept of scientists guessing the way something is before it is observed, because it has many lessons for the pursuit of predicting what will happen in the future. There have been many great achievements in this field, many predictions in science that are really impressive.

A classic example occurred in astronomy. The planet Neptune, which lies out in the far reaches of the Solar System, is now familiar to us, but there was a time when scientists knew about it before anybody saw it through a telescope. Actually, since Galileo in 1613 (he was observing Jupiter and Neptune appeared right by), stargazers saw it many times through telescopes, but they mistook it for a star (because of its slow orbit speed, which was necessary for it to not be flung out of the Solar System) and it went unrecognized as a planet within the Solar System. Looking for Neptune in the night sky was like looking for a needle in a haystack, except that the needle was just mistaken for a straw every time someone saw it. Neptune, then, was lost in the expanse of both space and the catalogs of astronomers.

The only people who were able to find it were mathematicians. First, an observation was made by astronomers. The planet Uranus, which is closer to the Sun than Neptune, was discovered by William Herschel in 1781 and two years later, Pierre-Simon Laplace calculated the exact perimeters that the planet’s orbit had to have, basically predicting exactly how the planet was going to move. In the decades afterwards, astronomers tracked Uranus’s orbit (which takes 84 years to go around the Sun) and by the 1800s, they noticed that the trajectory the planet took was slightly different from what was predicted. Its orbit was not smooth but deviated a little in a way they could not account for.

Scientists suggested that Uranus’s eccentricities were caused by the gravity of unseen objects. Their conclusion was that it was a planet in the Solar System farther from the Sun than Uranus, which tugged on Uranus’s orbit. But the really impressive feat was when two mathematicians, a Frenchman named Urbain Le Verrier and an Englishman named John Couch Adams, worked independently of each other in the 1840s to calculate both the position and the mass of the planet. Their estimates were close to each other and soon afterwards, in 1846, a German scientist named Johann Gottfried Galle decided to look in the sky for the planet, using the calculations as a guide. He found it and it was named Neptune. The calculations were a success.

The mathematicians devised their prediction of Neptune’s existence using math and Newtonian mechanics. Isaac Newton was a spectacular genius. He observed the heavens and the state of the objects visible and devised mathematical tools that would allow scientists to predict how space objects would behave in other circumstances. Mathematics is the field of pure analysis, of comprehension. One just needs to master it in one’s head and one can gain a firm understanding of all that one can observe or imagine. The Englishman and Frenchman used what Newton pioneered to guess how things were in an unseen part of the Solar System. They very well could have also used it to predict future events, like if Neptune was going to collide with Uranus in three hundred years, then they could have known it would occur. If they, utilizing science and math, could do it for the goings on far out there, people can also do it for what goes on down on Earth.

However, the clutter of all the little things that are on this world called Earth are vastly more complex in their behavior than are all the worlds themselves in the open expanse of space. The world we live in is a labyrinth of events and processes. Our only advantage is that everything here is closer to us than what is out there and in that way, easier to observe. We are mostly okay in the observation department, but analysis is a significant feat too.

There are so many cases of individuals whose knowledge was far ahead of what the circumstances and technology of their times could allow them to observe. Turning back towards space, perhaps the greatest of the minds that were capable of gleaming what there was long before anybody could see it was Albert Einstein. His name is synonymous with genius and that is not because he did experiments or went out into the field and discovered things. He engaged his brain and not his eyes or his ears, for he took the observations made by other people, observations that were greatly puzzling, and garnered his great theories from them, making sense meanwhile, long before the theories could be tested.

Thus, the theory of relativity was confirmed near the end of the twentieth century by the misalignment of GPS signals passing between satellites and Earth’s surface, but Einstein predicted this would happen close to the beginning of the century. Before people could go to space, Einstein embarked on epic voyages of discovery on his blackboard. He looked at observations, such as the discovery that the speed of light from outer space was the same from Earth’s perspective whichever direction it was coming from. He then managed to explain what it all meant and figured out how the universe worked. Einstein could serve as a great inspiration to those who aim to simulate in their minds how disasters may happen before such events become real.

Einstein, of course, was not an ordinary human being. After his death, a brain autopsy on him found that the regions of his brain responsible for reasoning were unusually large. We can seek out other people like that in the world today, and set them to work in disaster research. If any such person is out there, reading this blog, I implore you to put your scientific talents to work in the pursuit of humanitarian interests and public safety.

We have seen such great achievements in the endeavor to understand the basic workings of the world. It is time that we put these talents directly to use in the pursuit of keeping people of the world safe. People like Einstein have proven we can spare ourselves the agony of resorting to using a past disaster as a template for preventing further disasters because the human mind can do better than that.

So let us look at what can be done concerning awareness of the different types of disaster risks in the world. We will start with the hazards that are the source of risk. Most of the world’s hazard risk comes from nature. Natural disasters are our main problem and like natural events typically, they are repetitive. Most natural hazard events happen quite frequently in fact, and human societies are usually quite used to them.

However, there are many hazardous natural phenomenon that occur with very long intervals, such as large earthquakes or tsunamis, often making them difficult to remember. We can find out about such past occurrences through historical, archaeological, or paleontological investigations. The need for doing the same also exists for natural hazards in areas where reliable written records do not go back very far, most likely because human habitation or reliable record-keeping began there relatively recently. To create for ourselves a record of past natural events, we just have to look for their tell-tale traces in the ground.

Our awareness of natural hazards is no longer as secure as it used to be. Nature changes and it usually does so very slowly when left to itself. However, human impact is now altering the natural world on a large-scale at a breakneck speed. The natural hazards we face in the future (and not too far a future at that) are going to be different from what we faced in the past. Even if we resign ourselves to just waiting for these new natural disasters to happen in order to find out that they can happen, it will not work as a source of lessons for very long, because natural hazards will continue to change. What we need is to prepare for the global environmental upheaval we are heading towards, and for that, we need to find out what the future holds in store, before that future becomes reality.

Planet Earth is very big and very complex. Small changes can have big consequences that are erratic and unpredictable. The natural world is also mysterious on account of the fact that it exists by itself without human input. Studying, uncovering its secrets is a big challenge. We have to comprehensively understand how things are in nature, and what are the scientific laws governing their behavior. As the entire planet is interconnected, we then have to put everything together to get a clear picture of what to expect, including in geographical terms, which is to say what changes will take place exactly where. Much of this will require calculations so complex that supercomputer technology will be needed.

There are also hazards that come directly from human beings and their actions. Artificial hazards are, for obvious reasons, almost never a constant. They are changing all the time. We are supposed to know all about our artificial world.

Hazard is just one component of disaster risk. There is also exposure, vulnerability, and capacity to cope. We need to have awareness of that also. Because these three factors pertain to human societies, they again also have a high tendency to change, which means that scientific analysis will be largely needed to understand them, although historical analysis will also help.

Pakistan is a challenging environment for DRR. 40 percent of Pakistan’s population is illiterate and 44 percent of children between the ages of five and sixteen are out of school, though The field of science and research continues to grow. In fact, Pakistan tops all other Islamic countries in its expertise, being thus the intellectual leader of the Muslim World. But Pakistan still lags far behind the developed world.

For example, only two Nobel prizes were won by somebody from Pakistan, one was the Nobel Physics Prize won by Abdus Salam for unifying the nuclear and the electromagnetic force (it is a pretty impressive achievement that gives the impression of following in the footsteps of the great Scottish physicist James Clerk Maxwell), and the other was the Nobel Peace Prize won by Malala Yousafzai. That prize was not for any intellectual achievement but rather for her struggle for entitlement to intellectual achievements. Both prizes were shared with other people.

For the purpose of instituting disaster risk awareness, it is really only higher education that is relevant. Higher education is the level of education, usually for students who have entered adulthood, that directly prepares them for professional life. There is typically a lot of emphasis on original research and innovation. When students successfully complete a course of study, an academic degree is awarded to them. If students produce a work that demonstrates complete mastery of a subject they have been studying, or which contributes to scholarly knowledge through the students’ original research, they are awarded the highest degree, a PhD.

Pakistan’s education system started to change in 2002, when the nation’s economy was blooming and Pervez Musharraf was dictator. Globally, the increasing importance of knowledge economies made higher education a priority for nations. That year, the University Grants Commission was abolished and replaced by the Higher Education Commission (HEC), which was independent of the Ministry of Education. Its first chairperson was Atta-ur-Rehman, a scientist who was Minister for Science and Technology in the preceding two years. Under his lead, the HEC initiated a series of reforms on higher education and accomplished a great deal.

Funding for Pakistan’s universities grew from 3 billion rupees in 2002, to more than 30 billion five years later. As a result of these efforts, many Pakistani universities increased in standing and became world-class institutions. From 2003 to 2008, university enrollment increased from 135,000 per year to 400,000 and international research publications produced by Pakistan increased from 600 per year to 4300.

After 2009, however, higher education stagnated again. The economy was hit by crises and Musharaff’s government gave way to a Pakistan’s People’s Party-led civilian government in the 2008 elections. Funding for higher education was drastically reduced. Nevertheless, university enrollment and academic research continues to grow in Pakistan. We also have the students who were educated during the golden period of 2002-2009 with us (unless they go abroad and abandon our nation).

Nevertheless, Pakistan does not look set to become a knowledge economy yet,which would be necessary for the prosperity of the nation. For PPLDM, the concern is safety. As long as there is enough knowledge to keep Pakistanis safe, our goal here is fulfilled.

Indeed, however strong Pakistan’s academic performance is, whatever the scale of our achievements and research, when it comes to disaster risk awareness, it remains to be seen just how much the nation puts its talent to use in that end. Priorities matter. In the entire realm of science and technology, the field Pakistan is strongest in is chemistry. The next strongest field is nuclear physics. That does not do much good for DRR. Sure, nuclear physics will help Pakistanis understand a risk that came about as a result of them knowing nuclear physics, which is nuclear power plant meltdown, and everything is made of chemicals, so knowing about chemicals helps us to know quite a lot about every hazard. Also, we have chemistry-based hazards like fire. But otherwise, Pakistan needs to improve itself in a lot of other fields to gain competence in basic risk awareness.

So we got to look at what are the basic fields of knowledge most relevant to disaster risk. When it comes to hazards, almost the entire danger we live under comes from nature. Therefore, knowledge about nature and how it works forms the crux of disaster risk awareness. That is relatively weak in Pakistan. Planet Earth is highly complex but is divided into four basic sectors, the geosphere, the atmosphere, the hydrosphere, and the biosphere, all of which have four fields of science devoted to their study.

It goes without saying that meteorology, the science of the atmosphere, is the most important for disaster management. Weather-related disasters are the most common, and most human suffering and losses come from the weather. It holds true for Pakistan. The weather plays a big role also in natural disasters in general. Here and all over the world, meteorology is a core field of natural hazard management.
Under the Pakistan Meteorological Department, which was founded in 1947, meteorology became one of Pakistan’s top scientific fields early on in the nation’s history. As far as weather forecasting is concerned, it remains a strong field, with many institutions dedicated to the weather including some that are linked to agriculture.

Geology, the science of the geosphere, which is the earth itself, is also very important. Geological disasters may not come often but when they do, they tend to be severe.Pakistan is one of the world’s most geologically hazardous countries, especially in the mountainous areas. Geology is a strong field in Pakistan, which has its own “Geological Survey Pakistan (GSP). The Geological Survey of Pakistan was boosted significantly by help from the USGS during Pakistan’s early decades and continues to be a reputable scientific institution. It has done impressive work charting Pakistan’s geosphere. Another major geological institution in Pakistan is the Department of Geology at the University of Karachi.

Hydrology, the science of the hydrosphere which is just the presence of water in the natural world, is very much interchangeable with geology and meteorology, but it is considered a separate field of its own because water is such a common and important substance in nature. That single substance plays a huge role in the workings of the Earth and that is reflected in the fact that 90 percent of all natural disasters are water-related. Having an integrated understanding of water is therefore very important to disaster risk awareness. Hydrology is a fairly strong field in Pakistan. That is particularly because Pakistan has a very extensive water management system. Hydrology is not treated very much as a separate field though. Pakistanis working in other fields of science, especially geology, are well-versed in hydrology as well.

Biology, the study of living things which make up the biosphere, is the one field in the list which appears to be of not overarching importance to disaster risk awareness. Living things are just not as powerful a force in the world as air, earth, and water and the biosphere as such does not give a threatening appearance, especially in the modern world. As such, compared to the huge variety of meteorological, geological, and hydrological hazards, biological hazards are few in number.

These are,nevertheless, significant. One of them is epidemics (they involve microbes), which are a major threat all over the world. Another major threat is famine caused by agricultural failure (they involve plants dying), of which many instances themselves have a biological cause such as pest infestation. Most of the biggest disasters in human history have been epidemics and famines. Finally, the third type of biology-related hazard that we mostly have to deal with is wildfires (plants burning). Wildfires tend not to be severe disasters individually. However, they, and fires in general, mostly occur very frequently, so much so that fires are considered the main crisis that emergency services have to be ready for. These three hazards make the biological sciences indispensable to keeping us safe.

Biology is not a highly significant field in Pakistan. Much of the importance it does have might be due to being in conjunction with chemistry, especially because the International Centre for Chemical and Biological Sciences is responsible for much of Pakistan’s chemist prowess, running the largest postgraduate research program in the country with 600 students enrolled for PhD. These students better focus on biology as well. A major indigenous organization promoting biology in the country is the Biological Society of Pakistan, founded in 1949.

The environmental sciences combine the aforementioned fields of natural science by studying the interactions between the spheres of Earth. They are crucial for risk awareness, because hazards tend to be the result of complex factors and the way they interact with the environment plays a part in what effect they have on people. Environmental science is a very integrated field. It exists not in isolation and it is very good for a comprehensive understanding of how nature, and therefore how natural hazards, work.

Environmental sciences are budding in Pakistan, much like everywhere. If Pakistanis are having trouble with it, I suggest that all they have to do is combine together different fields they are already good at. I say we ought to get meteorologists, geologists, and biologists get together in the same room to study the environment with each other.

Besides general sciences, the twin fields of technology and engineering are also of main importance for knowing about artificial hazards. The more technology and engineering Pakistan does, the greater the risk that come from them. In a country like Pakistan, a lot of technological and engineering products may come from abroad, meaning the knowledge about these things remains in the hands of others who made them. We Pakistanis may harbor only the knowledge of how to use the stuff. That deprives us of being aware of the risks if anything going wrong, which can be remedied by becoming experts in tech and engineering ourselves. Those fields of knowledge are also good for being aware of vulnerability from natural hazards. We need to be aware of how products of civilization are capable of causing disasters.

Check out the University of Engineering and Technology in Lahore (UET Lahore). It was established way back in 1921. The Pakistan Institute of Engineering and Applied Sciences (PIEAS), based in Islamabad, is rated by the HEC as the leading university in Pakistan regarding technology and engineering.

There are two basic fields of science, physics and chemistry. As mentioned, Pakistanis are good at the latter, but it is really the former that is essential to disaster risk awareness. Chemistry is the study of what things are made of, and physics is the study of how everything works. Disasters are dynamic events. They involve something happening and so physics is always needed to explain them. When people have a mastery of physics, they will be expert at taking apart the anatomy of a disaster and understanding how it works, and they will be very good at prediction. Physics is really key to disaster science.It is a strong field in Pakistan. UET Lahore operates the Pakistan Institute of Physics, which promotes the research of physics in Pakistan and grants licenses to physicists in the country. There is also the National Centre for Physics.

There are hazards, the source of disasters, and then there are the disasters themselves, which is the effect the hazard has on us. Disasters are defined as that which causes harm to people, to a person’s self, and so there is a field of knowledge which deals with the ultimate result of all disaster, medicine. It is the study of ailments that afflict the human body and how to deal with them. Along with it goes human physiology, the general study of the human body, which helps us to predict what could happen to people in disasters.

Medicine is a major field in this country in terms of how many people study it. When I go around, most students I come across are studying medical textbooks. That is good, because healthcare is very important and Pakistan needs a lot of it. There are countless institutions in Pakistan devoted to the study of medicine. The country is lagging behind in proper utilization of talent in medicine, which is an administrative issue.

However things are in Pakistan right now, I am quite certain that the people of the country have a great deal of potential intellectually. They just do not have the opportunities right now. How to foster their potential is a big question. Higher education tends to be arranged in such a rigid manner. There should be flexibility in how the people of Pakistan can learn. There are so many ways we can do so, so many ways to innovate learning.

Awareness of disaster risk in Pakistan, however, does not necessarily need to come from within Pakistan. The world is deeply interconnected and societies derive much of their knowledge from each other.Consider, as an example, the two inhabited continents that have been on opposite ends of the spectrum in terms of how much their indigenous people developed in the realm of civilization, Europe and Australia. Both are the world’s two smallest continents, so much so that it is ambiguous if Europe is a peninsula and Australia is an island. But their history is strikingly different. Europe has long been a seat of civilization and in recent centuries dominated the entire globe. Australia remained purely a land of hunter-gatherers until one European country used it as the dumping ground for convicts. Europe is geographically the world’s least isolated continent, merging with the world’s biggest continent on its eastern side and straddling the second-biggest continent along its southern side. Australia is the most isolated continent (save for Antarctica), way out there in the ocean with only a string of islands connecting it to distant Asia.

Our modern world is largely a product of the course of European history and it is a world based heavily on wide-ranging connectivity and the passing of ideas and knowledge across borders. We only hope that its purpose is no longer so one-sided, with the Westerners in control of everything and gathering up all the benefits. We Pakistanis obviously have learned much of what we know of the general facts of disaster risk from the rest of the world, especially the most developed countries. There is also great potential for foreigners to study Pakistan’s disaster risks.

The more that Pakistanis engage with the rest of the world, the more we can learn. That especially goes for the goal of creating knowledge, which is going to be required a lot in researching Pakistan’s disasters. The world’s highest repositories of knowledge and expertise lie in a select few rich countries such as America and Japan and Pakistanis can gain that knowledge by interacting with these countries, especially by going there themselves. Of the impressive record of intellectual achievements by citizens of Pakistan, much of it consists of work done by those who went abroad, such as the breakthroughs in physics by Abdus Salam. There are over seven million Pakistani expatriates around the world. They have formed many communities, the biggest of which are in the United States, Britain, UAE, and Saudi Arabia. These four countries have quite a lot of money (though the west is way ahead of the Arabs in the knowledge department).

Expatriots tend to prosper and have contributed a great deal to their host countries. Their contributions to their home country have also been significant. In the past, emigrants from Pakistan were largely common laborers, but in recent decades, scientists and academics have been going abroad and getting into foreign universities. Many of them have either worked to open up collaboration with institutions in Pakistan or have returned back here to bring their expertise with them. They have greatly enriched the intellectual scene in Pakistan.

Also, we do not need to leave Pakistan to get expertise abroad. That knowledge can come here. We now live in a world where this happens easily, thanks to the internet. In 2008, Pakistan Telecom Authority said the nation had 22 million internet users. The world’s knowledge is freely placed on the Internet. Thanks to the printing press, the “most important invention of the millennium” according to Time Magazine, Pakistan can overflow with books and magazines from abroad in abundance.

Knowledge is a boundless resource except when people want ownership over it. It is a problem when you have to pay for knowledge. Not everything on the Internet is free. Some content requires subscription fees to access, especially more technical and formal sources. As for publications in general, they tend to be protected by copyright. That means you cannot legally reproduce the knowledge without the consent of whoever first produced it.

This ensures that when somebody produces a piece of knowledge, he or she can profit from it. It creates incentives for people to research and gives them the resources to do more research. But it also kind of limits the range of knowledge. Each country has copyright laws which have to be duly enforced. Across borders, though, there is no international copyright that is obligatory. Many countries have signed copyright agreements, so publications of one country can be protected in another country.
I think Pakistan should honor foreign copyright so that we can give back to those who give to us. But you know the thing about safety? It comes first. I’d say that for those publications that are relevant to safety, those pieces of knowledge that we need for awareness of the risks we face, we should fight for exemption or ignore, if we must, foreign copyright.

Whatever copy from abroad we get our hands on, we should freely distribute it if it is important for saving lives. Human lives are what are most important. This limited and important range of intellectual freedom is humanitarian. It should not offend anyone.

All that is unknown about disaster risk in Pakistan must be uncovered. If foreign expertise is useful for that, then by all means, invite people from other countries to study the disaster risk in Pakistan and work together with Pakistanis in this regard. There are many reasons they would want to do so. People may have interests in Pakistan, such as commercial interests, and disaster management here will be useful for them. China comes as an example in mind as it is investing commercially in Pakistan a lot. There are humanitarian groups who wish to make things safer for the people of the world. There are scientists who will do it out of pure academic interest. Scientists from other countries can map seismic fault lines in Pakistan, survey the geology of the northern areas to find out the chance of landslides, or make computer models of how global warming will affect the monsoon’s behavior in Pakistan, all as part of their endeavor to know as much about the world as possible.

Researchers and scientists, however, usually focus on studying anything that is relevant to their own countries. Their next priority is studying anything involving other countries that their own country has ties of any kind to. Interaction of Pakistan with the outside world is put under jeopardy as a result of the circumstances that surround the War on Terror. Issues concerning militancy and extremism have created rifts between Muslim and non-Muslim countries. Fortunately, humanitarian organizations tend to be intrepid.

For now, we will take a look at the organization most relevant to us, the United Nations International Strategy for Disaster Risk Reduction, UNISDR. It is part of the UN Secretariat, which is the UN’s executive branch. The UNISDR’s four goals are stated as “understanding disaster risk, strengthening disaster risk governance to manage disaster risk, investing in disaster risk reduction for resilience, and enhancing disaster preparedness for effective response and to “Build Back Better” in recovery, rehabilitation and reconstruction”.

UNISDR has done much in pursuit of the first goal. The organization has a Scientific and Technical Advisory Group (STAG). UNISDR maintains a list of its partners on its website and one category is called Science and Technology Research Institutions, Organizations, and Networks. STAG coordinates the agency’s interaction with these groups. UNISDR has a website for imparting its knowledge to the public, called PreventionWeb.

Science has two motivations, practical benefit and curiosity. Disaster risk awareness is one of the most practical fields of knowledge. Safety is one of the most important things for people. Whose safety is a big question though. The resource to gain knowledge is often in the hands of only a select few. Who they are often determines whose interests they cater to. On the other hand, there are many of them who just want to find out as much about the world as possible.

The world puts great effort into satisfying curiosity, especially the affluent, perhaps because they can afford it. the biggest example is paleontology. Fossil diggers from America and other countries regularly go to Mongolia to discover dinosaur fossils such as that of Tarbosaurus, the Asian cousin of the T. Rex. Out in those dusty quarries, there runs one of the few rumbles of international activity in the backwater nation.

Paleontology is a field with so much attention given and so little practical value to offer in return. Biomimicry is emerging as a major field of innovation, whereby people create designs inspired by biological systems and structures, and the fossil record provides us with four billion years of nature to copy from. But until we turn our attention to that, the fascination of so many with dinosaurs and the like is a big example of how much we want to learn for learning’s sake.

That does not do all that much good since the motive does not involve serving your fellow man. Nevertheless, many hazardous events tend to pique human interest. It turns out that danger always fascinates and intrigues human beings. Just look at the Hollywood film industry. The popular films are always filled with danger. Maybe there is a connection with serving humanity. Staying safe from danger has always been one of humanity’s biggest priorities and as such, we find an emotional attraction in doing so.

Many hazardous events offer attractive spectacles. Just think of how fascinating a tornado or a tsunami is. Anything powerful and destructive will get people to want to look into it. However, there are many disasters and hazards that do not look very exciting or interesting. Two such “boring” hazards, epidemics and famines/droughts, have been among the most serious of hazards throughout history. We have figures of 100 million dead from the 1918 Spanish Flu and 30 million dead from the Great Chinese Famine of 1960. But Hollywood is not going to make big box-office cash from movies of people starving or falling ill as much as from its more conventional disaster films.

There is clearly a great gap between people focusing on what is important and on what is interesting. We will look at a couple of examples for Pakistan itself. A great earthquake struck Balochistan in September 2013 and hundreds died. At the same time, a new island rose out of the ocean off the coast of the region. This generated a great deal of publicity for the earthquake in the international media. The casualties did not. I guess people reading newspapers around the world think it mundane when they read figures of lots of people dying somewhere in the world. It is just not of interest to them. But a new island rising out of the ocean is. In a more recent example, the damage caused in the city of Lahore by monsoon rains in July 2018 caught the world’s attention because of the formation of a large sinkhole. In these cases, people are interested by something rare happening, and it is not every day that the ground sinks down or rises out of the ocean.

Interest in safety from danger can foster disaster research. People are so interested in the gigantic animals that roamed the planet 70 million years ago and the supernovas happening far away in the universe and islands rising out of the sea. We can get them to be equally interested in the earthquakes that happen and the cyclones that happen and all the calamitous events that could happen, the endangerment to people, and methodologies in overcoming them. I cannot think of anything more fascinating than that. It is a pursuit of knowledge that is motivational in every way.

Money is not the only motivation for science. Consider NASA, which throughout its history has been devoted to pouring large amounts of money into research projects that do not give money back. Less affluent countries like Pakistan will have to balance out money and learning.

One a final note, we need to motivate all of us to pursue knowledge under the goal of protecting people from all that threatens them. Look at what we are all doing, in Pakistan and everywhere else. We are constantly endeavoring to make ourselves smarter and find out as much as we can. But we must look at for what purpose. Safety should be our number-one purpose. We need to be most vigorous in our knowledge-seeking when it comes to safety. We need to focus in that area the most. I believe Pakistan should primarily focus on that. Once we have succeeded in gaining adequate disaster risk awareness, enabling us to be safe as a nation, we can turn our attention to everything else so that we may bloom as a nation.

I call upon all the bright and promising minds reading this article to do just that. Whatever you are studying, whatever field of knowledge you are working to pioneer, it would be best that you use your talent and gifts for the most worthy causes and that you focus your attention on what is most important to discover, the disaster risks in our country. Nearly two hundred million Pakistanis live under danger every moment of their lives. If Pakistan wants to be a nation of knowledge, it should begin by becoming aware of these dangers first and foremost, in order that we may protect and preserve all the precious minds that have the potential to participate in humanity’s noble goals.